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What Can We Predict About Libya and the Arab Spring from Statistical Studies?
Citation Information: Statistics, Politics, and Policy. Volume 2, Issue 1, Pages –, ISSN (Online) 2151-7509, DOI: 10.2202/2151-7509.1029, June 2011
- Published Online:
While research using cross country data and analysis is rife with statistical problems, the best papers do provide valuable insight. This commentary illustrates how an excellent paper on democratization provides a useful “stability threshold” that helps to understand current events in the Middle East, especially the Western intervention in Libya.