While research using cross country data and analysis is rife with statistical problems, the best papers do provide valuable insight. This commentary illustrates how an excellent paper on democratization provides a useful “stability threshold” that helps to understand current events in the Middle East, especially the Western intervention in Libya.

Ed. by Banks, David / McCaffrey, Daniel / Morton, Sally / Rolph, John
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- The Spread of Evidence-Poor Medicine via Flawed Social-Network Analysis by Lyons, Russell
- Monitoring Progress Towards Millennium Development Goal 4: A Call for Improved Validation of Under-Five Mortality Rate Estimates by Alkema, Leontine/ Wong, Maria B. and Seah, Pei Rong
- A New Method for Deriving Global Estimates of Maternal Mortality by Wilmoth, John R./ Mizoguchi, Nobuko/ Oestergaard, Mikkel Z./ Say, Lale/ Mathers, Colin D./ Zureick-Brown, Sarah/ Inoue, Mie and Chou, Doris
- Problems with Tests of the Missingness Mechanism in Quantitative Policy Studies by Rhoads, Christopher H.
- The Value Deming's Ideas Can Add to Educational Evaluation by Lohr, Sharon L.
What Can We Predict About Libya and the Arab Spring from Statistical Studies?
Alan M Green
1Lander Universtiy
Citation Information: Statistics, Politics, and Policy. Volume 2, Issue 1, Pages –, ISSN (Online) 2151-7509, DOI: 10.2202/2151-7509.1029, June 2011
Publication History:
- Published Online:
- 2011-06-24
Keywords: Libya; democracy; Middle East


















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