In this paper we revisit the work of Jones (1995a) which provided strong evidence against the empirical validity of AK-type models that predict increasing output growth rates as a result of permanent movements in the physical investment rate. For that purpose, we employ recently developed unit root tests with good size and power which are also able to accommodate the existence of a structural break in the data for 26 OECD countries over the period 1950-1992. Overall, the analysis of deterministic and stochastic trends in output growth and investment rates (in total physical investment, and in producer durables and total structures) do not render broad support for the empirical validity of AK models. This result appears to be confirmed by the estimation of autoregressive distributed lag growth models which consistently render insignificant long-run coefficients on the investment rates.

Abraham, Arpad / Carceles-Poveda , Eva / Cavalcanti, Tiago / Kambourov, Gueorgui / Lambertini, Luisa / Ruhl, Kim / Tavares, Jose
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics
1 Issue per year
IMPACT FACTOR 2011: 0.321
Issues
Volume 13 (2013)
Volume 12 (2012)
Volume 11 (2011)
Volume 10 (2010)
Volume 9 (2009)
Volume 8 (2008)
Volume 7 (2007)
Volume 6 (2006)
Volume 5 (2005)
Volume 4 (2004)
Volume 3 (2003)
Volume 2 (2002)
Volume 1 (2001)
Most Downloaded Articles
- Comparing Wealth Effects: The Stock Market versus the Housing Market by Case, Karl E./ Quigley, John M. and Shiller, Robert J.
- Who Gets the Credit? And Does It Matter? Household vs. Firm Lending Across Countries by Beck, Thorsten/ Büyükkarabacak, Berrak/ Rioja, Felix K. and Valev, Neven T.
- Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms by Kannan, Prakash/ Rabanal, Pau and Scott, Alasdair M.
- Is Discretionary Fiscal Policy in Japan Effective? by Rafiq, Sohrab
- In search of lost time: the neoclassical synthesis by De Vroey, Michel and Duarte, Pedro Garcia
Can the AK Model Be Rescued? New Evidence from Unit Root Tests with Good Size and Power
Diego Romero-Avila1
1Pablo de Olavide University, dromtor@upo.es
Citation Information: Topics in Macroeconomics. Volume 6, Issue 1, Pages –, ISSN (Online) 1534-5998, DOI: 10.2202/1534-5998.1336, March 2006
Publication History:
- Published Online:
- 2006-03-12
Keywords: unit root tests; structural change; endogenous growth theory; neoclassical growth theory; physical investment rate


















Comments (0)