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Publication Date:
November 2006
ISSN:
1935-1690
DOI:
10.2202/1534-6005.1403

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Abraham, Arpad / Carceles-Poveda , Eva / Cavalcanti, Tiago / Kambourov, Gueorgui / Lambertini, Luisa / Ruhl, Kim / Tavares, Jose

The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics

1 Issue per year

IMPACT FACTOR 2011: 0.321

 

Real Business Cycle Theory and the Great Depression: The Abandonment of the Abstentionist Viewpoint

Michel R De Vroey1 / Luca Pensieroso2

1Department of Economics and IRES, Université catholique de Louvain, devroey@ires.ucl.ac.be

2Department of Economics and IRES, Université catholique de Louvain, luca.pensieroso@uclouvain.be

Citation Information: Contributions in Macroeconomics. Volume 6, Issue 1, Pages 1–26, ISSN (Online) 1534-6005, DOI: 10.2202/1534-6005.1403, November 2006

Publication History:
Published Online:
2006-11-05

Is the Great Depression amenable to real business cycle theory? In the 1970s and 1980s Lucas and Prescott took an abstentionist stance. They maintained that, because of its exceptional character, an explanation of the Great Depression was beyond the grasp of the equilibrium approach to the business cycle. However, while Lucas stuck to this view, Prescott changed his mind at the end of the 1990s, breaking his earlier self-imposed restraint. In this paper we document this evolution of opinion and produce a first assessment of real business cycle models of the Great Depression. We claim that the fact of having constructed an equilibrium model of the Great Depression constitutes a methodological breakthrough. However, as far as substance is concerned, we argue that the contribution of real business cycle literature on the Great Depression is slim, and does not gain the upper hand over the work of economic historians.

Keywords: great depression; new classical macroeconomics; real business cycle theory; equilibrium; unemployment

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