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Publication Date:
August 2007
ISSN:
1935-1690
DOI:
10.2202/1935-1690.1525

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Abraham, Arpad / Carceles-Poveda , Eva / Cavalcanti, Tiago / Kambourov, Gueorgui / Lambertini, Luisa / Ruhl, Kim / Tavares, Jose

The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics

1 Issue per year

IMPACT FACTOR 2011: 0.321

 

Gold, Fiat Money, and Price Stability

Michael D. Bordo1 / Robert D Dittmar2 / William T. Gavin3

1Rutgers University, bordo@econ.rutgers.edu

2Risk Analytics, Robert.Dittmar@radian.biz

3Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, gavin@stls.frb.org

Citation Information: The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics. Volume 7, Issue 1, Pages –, ISSN (Online) 1935-1690, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1690.1525, August 2007

Publication History:
Published Online:
2007-08-09

The classical gold standard has long been associated with long-run price stability. But short-run price variability led critics of the gold standard to propose reforms that look much like modern versions of price-path targeting. This paper uses a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to examine price dynamics under alternative policy regimes. In the model, a pure inflation target provides more short-run price stability than does the gold standard and, although it introduces a unit root into the price level, it leads to as much long-term price stability as does the gold standard for horizons shorter than 20 years. Relative to these regimes, Fisher's compensated dollar (or pure price-path targeting) reduces inflation uncertainty by an order of magnitude at all horizons. A Taylor rule, with its relatively large weight on output, leads to large uncertainty about inflation at long horizons. This long-run inflation uncertainty can be largely eliminated by introducing an additional response to the deviation of the price level from a desired path.

Keywords: gold standard; compensated dollar; inflation targeting

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