The goal of this paper is to develop an adjusted plus-minus statistic for NHL players that is independent of both teammates and opponents. We use data from the shift reports on NHL.com in a weighted least squares regression to estimate an NHL player's effect on his team's success in scoring and preventing goals at even strength. Both offensive and defensive components of adjusted plus-minus are given, estimates in terms of goals per 60 minutes and goals per season are given, and estimates for forwards and defensemen are given.
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A Regression-Based Adjusted Plus-Minus Statistic for NHL Players
Brian Macdonald
1United States Military Academy
Citation Information: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports. Volume 7, Issue 3, Pages –, ISSN (Online) 1559-0410, DOI: 10.2202/1559-0410.1284, July 2011
Publication History:
- Published Online:
- 2011-07-19
Keywords: NHL; plus-minus; adjusted plus-minus
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