Volume 9 (2013)
Volume 5 (2009)
Volume 1 (2005)
Most Downloaded Articles
- Odd odds: The UEFA Champions League Round of 16 draw by Klößner, Stefan and Becker, Martin
- Effect of position, usage rate, and per game minutes played on NBA player production curves by Page, Garritt L./ Barney, Bradley J. and McGuire, Aaron T.
- The Role of Rest in the NBA Home-Court Advantage by Entine, Oliver A and Small, Dylan S
- Relationship between the Opponent Block and the Hitter in Elite Male Volleyball by Araújo, Rui Manuel/ Castro, José/ Marcelino, Rui and Mesquita, Isabel R
An Analysis of Curling Strategy
Citation Information: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports. Volume 8, Issue 3, ISSN (Online) 1559-0410, DOI: 10.1515/1559-0410.1500, October 2012
- Published Online:
This paper addresses two important strategic questions in the sport of curling, namely (i) when it is best to blank rather than take one point, and (ii) when entering the final end, is it preferable to be winning by one point without last rock advantage or be losing by one point with last rock advantage. A multinomial logistic regression for end score probabilities and a Markov model for game win probabilities are introduced to answer both of the questions of interest. An asymptotic sampling procedure is used for statistical inference. The paper also updates and expands the data used in the previously published empirical curling analyses to take account of an important rule change.