Evolutionary escape of pathogens from the selective pressure of immune responses and from medical interventions is driven by the accumulation of mutations. We introduce a statistical model for jointly estimating the dynamics and dependencies among genetic alterations and the associated phenotypic changes. The model integrates conjunctive Bayesian networks, which define a partial order on the occurrences of genetic events, with isotonic regression. The resulting genotype-phenotype map is non-decreasing in the lattice of genotypes. It describes evolutionary escape as a directed process following a phenotypic gradient, such as a monotonic fitness landscape. We present efficient algorithms for parameter estimation and model selection. The model is validated using simulated data and applied to HIV drug resistance data. We find that the effect of many resistance mutations is non-linear and depends on the genetic background in which they occur.

Editor-in-Chief: Stumpf, Michael P.H.
Editorial Board Member: Beaumont, Mark / Binder, Harald / Gupta, Mayetri / Hubbard, Alan E. / Husmeier, Dirk / Ji, Hongkai / Keles, Sunduz / Kerr, Kathleen / Lazzeroni, Laura / Lin, Shili / Ma, Ping / Marjoram, Paul / Mertens, Bart / Nerman, Olle / G. Petretto, Enrico / Plagnol, Vincent / Purdom, Elizabeth / Robin, Stéphane / Rzhetsky, Andrey / Sanguinetti, Guido / van der Laan, Mark J. / von Haeseler, Arndt / Weeks, Daniel E. / Wiuf, Carsten / Zhao, Hongyu
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Learning Monotonic Genotype-Phenotype Maps
1ETH Zürich
1ETH Zürich
1Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
Citation Information: Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology. Volume 10, Issue 1, Pages 1–27, ISSN (Online) 1544-6115, DOI: 10.2202/1544-6115.1603, January 2011
- Published Online:
- 2011-01-06
Keywords: genotype-phenotype map; conjunctive Bayesian networks; HIV drug resistance; isotonic regression


















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