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Publication Date:
January 2001
ISSN:
1558-3708
DOI:
10.2202/1558-3708.1066

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Supplementary Article Materials

Ed. by Mizrach, Bruce

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Time-to-Expiry Seasonalities in Eurofutures

Giuseppe Ballocchi1 / Michael Dacorogna2 / Ramazan Gençay3 / Barbara Piccinato4

1Olsen & Associates, Zurich, Switzerland

2Olsen & Associates, Zurich, Switzerland

3University of Windsor

4Olsen & Associates, Zurich, Switzerland

Citation Information: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics. Volume 4, Issue 4, Pages –, ISSN (Online) 1558-3708, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1066, January 2001

Publication History:
Published Online:
2001-01-01

This article reports a new seasonality in the volatility of Eurofutures contracts as a function of the time left before contract expiry. The fact that futures markets, unlike foreign exchange or equity markets, offer contracts that expire on specific dates, with typically one expiry per quarter for Eurofutures, leads to a new type of volatility seasonality as a function of the time left to expiry for the contract in question. The intraday volatility, averaged over the Eurofutures contracts we studied (Eurodollar, Euromark, and Short Sterling), decreases as a function of the time left to expiry. There is also an unexpected behavior consisting of oscillatory movements in volatility, with peaks every 60 business days, corresponding to rollover activities before each quarterly expiry.

Keywords: Eurofutures; intraday seasonality; intraday volatility; time-to-expiry seasonality

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