Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation

Online

49,00 € / $74.00*

* Prices subject to change. Shipping costs will be added if applicable.
Publication Date:
December 2003
ISSN:
1558-3708
DOI:
10.2202/1558-3708.1174

See all formats and pricing

Online
Individual Subscription Online only
Euro [D] 49.00
RRP for USA, Canada, Mexico
US$ 74.00 *
Print
Individual Subscription Online only
Euro [D] 218.00
RRP for USA, Canada, Mexico
US$ 294.00 *
Print + Online
Individual Subscription Online only
Euro [D] 262.00
RRP for USA, Canada, Mexico
US$ 353.00 *
*Prices subject to change. Shipping costs will be added if applicable.

Supplementary Article Materials

Ed. by Mizrach, Bruce

5 Issues per year

IMPACT FACTOR 2011: 0.405
5-year IMPACT FACTOR: 0.739

VolumeIssuePage

Issues

An Information Theoretic Approach for Estimating Nonlinear Dynamic Models

Amos Golan1

1American University, agolan@american.edu

Citation Information: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics. Volume 7, Issue 4, Pages –, ISSN (Online) 1558-3708, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1174, December 2003

Publication History:
Published Online:
2003-12-17

Given the objective of estimating the unknown parameters of a possibly nonlinear dynamic model using a finite (and relatively small) data set, it is common to use a Kalman filter Maximum Likelihood (ML) approach, ML-type estimators or more recently a GMM (Imbens, Spady and Johnson, 1998), BMOM (Zellner 1997), or other information theoretic estimators (e.g., Golan, Judge and Miller, 1996). Except for the BMOM, the above ML-type methods require some distributional assumptions while the moment-type estimators require some assumptions on the moments of the underlying distribution that generated the data. In the BMOM approach however, sampling assumptions underlying most ML and other approaches are not employed for the given data. The error terms are viewed as parameters with unknown values.Based on a generalization of the Maximum Entropy (ME), a semi-parametric, Information-Theoretic (IT) framework for estimating dynamic models with minimal distributional assumptions is formulated here. Like the BMOM approach, under this formulation, one views the errors as another set of unknown parameters to be estimated. Thus, for any data set, the estimation problem is ill-posed (under-determined) where the number of unknowns is always greater than the number of data points. The Information-Theoretic approach is one way to estimate the unknown parameters.After developing the basic IT (entropy) model, a computationally efficient concentrated model is developed where the optimization is done with respect to the Lagrange multipliers associated with each observation. The dual concentrated model is used to contrast this IT approach with the more traditional ML-type estimators. Statistics and inference procedures are developed as well. Monte Carlo results for estimating the parameters of noisy, chaotic systems are presented.

Comments (0)

Please log in or register to comment.