Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Show Summary Details
More options …

Jürges, Hendrik

The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy

Editor-in-Chief: Ludwig, Sandra / Schmitz, Hendrik

Ed. by Barigozzi, Francesca / Brunner, Johann / Fleck, Robert / Mastrobuoni, Giovanni / Mendola, Mariapia / Requate, Till / de Vries, Frans / Wenzel, Tobias

IMPACT FACTOR 2018: 0.520
5-year IMPACT FACTOR: 0.556

CiteScore 2018: 0.54

SCImago Journal Rank (SJR) 2018: 0.356
Source Normalized Impact per Paper (SNIP) 2018: 0.394

See all formats and pricing
More options …
Volume 4, Issue 1


Volume 6 (2006)

Volume 4 (2004)

Volume 2 (2002)

Volume 1 (2001)

Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections: Who Blames Whom for What

Daniel Eisenberg / Jonathan Ketcham
Published Online: 2004-08-17 | DOI: https://doi.org/10.2202/1538-0653.1285


In United States presidential elections, the incumbent party’s fortunes depend significantly on recent economic conditions, as numerous studies have shown. Many details of how economic voting takes place, however, are still not well understood. Here we present evidence on four issues. 1) Which is more important for determining people’s votes, national or local economic conditions? 2) What time frame do people consider in economic voting? 3) Which demographic groups are most sensitive to the economy in their voting behavior? 4) How does economic voting depend on the political context—in particular, whether a candidate is running for re-election, and whether the incumbent party also controls Congress? Our study includes the first county-level analysis of economic voting in presidential elections. We find the answers to our four questions are: 1) national conditions, by far; 2) the most recent year; 3) blacks, females, and the non-elderly; and 4) no.

Keywords: economic voting; president; presidential election

About the article

Published Online: 2004-08-17

Citation Information: Topics in Economic Analysis & Policy, Volume 4, Issue 1, ISSN (Online) 1538-0653, DOI: https://doi.org/10.2202/1538-0653.1285.

Export Citation

©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston.Get Permission

Citing Articles

Here you can find all Crossref-listed publications in which this article is cited. If you would like to receive automatic email messages as soon as this article is cited in other publications, simply activate the “Citation Alert” on the top of this page.

Linda G. Veiga and Francisco José Veiga
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2010
Rodrigo Martins and Francisco José Veiga
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2010
Leonardo Martinez
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2008
Francisco José Veiga and Linda G. Veiga
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2006
Giovanni Facchini, Maurizio Zanardi, and Paola Conconi
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2011
American Political Science Review, 2019, Volume 113, Number 2, Page 499
Andrew Healy and Gabriel S. Lenz
The Journal of Politics, 2017, Volume 79, Number 4, Page 1419
Brad T. Gomez and Thomas G. Hansford
Political Behavior, 2015, Volume 37, Number 2, Page 309
Stephen Ansolabehere, Marc Meredith, and Erik Snowberg
Economics & Politics, 2014, Volume 26, Number 3, Page 380
Rodrigo Martins and Francisco José Veiga
Public Choice, 2013, Volume 155, Number 3-4, Page 317
Paola Conconi and Nicolas Sahuguet
Journal of Public Economics, 2009, Volume 93, Number 3-4, Page 549

Comments (0)

Please log in or register to comment.
Log in