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Licensed Unlicensed Requires Authentication Published by De Gruyter March 12, 2012

Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games

Herman O. Stekler and Andrew Klein

This paper uses the difference in seeding ranks to predict the outcome of March Madness games. It updates the Boulier-Stekler method by predicting the outcomes by rounds. We also use the consensus rankings obtained from individuals, systems and poll. We conclude that the consensus rankings were slightly better predictors in the early rounds but had the same limitations as the seedings in the later rounds.

Published Online: 2012-3-12

©2012 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston

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