The Leaderless Economy

Peter Temin; David Vines

Published by Princeton University Press 2013

The Leaderless Economy

Why the World Economic System Fell Apart and How to Fix It

Peter Temin and David Vines

https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400846641

Overview
Contents

About this book

The Leaderless Economy reveals why international financial cooperation is the only solution to today's global economic crisis. In this timely and important book, Peter Temin and David Vines argue that our current predicament is a catastrophe rivaled only by the Great Depression. Taking an in-depth look at the history of both, they explain what went wrong and why, and demonstrate why international leadership is needed to restore prosperity and prevent future crises.

Temin and Vines argue that the financial collapse of the 1930s was an "end-of-regime crisis" in which the economic leader of the nineteenth century, Great Britain, found itself unable to stem international panic as countries abandoned the gold standard. They trace how John Maynard Keynes struggled for years to identify the causes of the Great Depression, and draw valuable lessons from his intellectual journey. Today we are in the midst of a similar crisis, one in which the regime that led the world economy in the twentieth century--that of the United States--is ending. Temin and Vines show how America emerged from World War II as an economic and military powerhouse, but how deregulation and a lax attitude toward international monetary flows left the nation incapable of reining in an overleveraged financial sector and powerless to contain the 2008 financial panic. Fixed exchange rates in Europe and Asia have exacerbated the problem.

The Leaderless Economy provides a blueprint for how renewed international leadership can bring today's industrial nations back into financial balance--domestically and between each other.

Author information

Peter Temin is the Elisha Gray II Professor Emeritus of Economics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. His books include Prometheus Shackled, The Roman Market Economy (Princeton), and The World Economy between the World Wars. David Vines is Professor of Economics and a Fellow of Balliol College, University of Oxford. His books include The IMF and Its Critics and The Asian Financial Crisis.

Reviews

Temin and Vines . . . offer a thoughtful exploration of the situation of the world financial system through detailed analysis and comparisons of the recent international economic crisis with circumstances during the Great Depression. . . . The book is a great resource for those interested in international economics and history. A must read for upper-division undergraduate students, business leaders, and future policy makers, and a pleasure for graduate students, faculty, and general readers.

"Looking back, we know now that the Great Depression and the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system were turning points in modern economic history. Temin and Vines make a compelling case that we are now at another such juncture. Policymakers have signally failed to come to grips with the depth of this crisis—they would be well advised to read this book."—Jonathan Portes, Director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, London

A compact book, brimming with insight, which will prove useful to economists, political scientists, investors and, above all, policy-makers.---Michael Pettis, Economic Record

[The Leaderless Economy] presents sensible arguments in favour of a rebalanced world economic system.---Tony Barber, Financial Times

One of Choice's Outstanding Academic Titles for 2013

"The Leaderless Economy focuses a historical lens on our current economic problems. While there have been many superficial analogies between the Great Depression and today, this illuminating book offers a more detailed, international economic look at those parallels."—Douglas A. Irwin, author of Peddling Protectionism: Smoot-Hawley and the Great Depression

"In this thoughtful and cogently argued book, Temin and Vines enlist the history of the Great Depression to provide a powerful set of dos and don'ts for the current financial crisis. The interesting question they pose is why today's policymakers, to a remarkable and alarming extent, have embraced the don'ts."—Barry Eichengreen, author of Exorbitant Privilege: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar and the Future of the International Monetary System

[T]emin and Vines's measured analysis will reward serious readers and economists who can keep up with global theory in motion.

In this timely and important book, Peter Temin and David Vines argue that our current predicament is a catastrophe rivaled only by the Great Depression. Taking an in-depth look at the history of both, they explain what went wrong and why, and demonstrate why international leadership is needed to restore prosperity and prevent future crises.

"This work dissects the global and euro area crises with refreshing clarity. It also sheds new light on Keynes's intellectual struggle to diagnose correctly the related events of the 1930s. The warning is clear: policymakers today need a clearer vision of how to deal with the domestic and international stress affecting their economies. Otherwise, they risk repeating the experience of the Great Depression rather than learning from it. Temin and Vines have done economists and the general public a huge service."—Max Watson, University of Oxford

"The global economy is deeply troubled, and the United States faces no more pressing task than to fix it. Temin and Vines recount in rich detail the history of the modern world economy and the currents of economic thought that attempted to explain it, providing a fascinating explanation of the roots of today's crisis and the way forward."—Jeffry A. Frieden, coauthor of Lost Decades: The Making of America's Debt Crisis and the Long Recovery

In The Leaderless Economy, Temin and Vines demonstrate that Keynes' economic theories remain robust and relevant. . . . [T]heir book provides a clear and compelling analysis of the roots of our global financial crisis and the lessons we can learn from it.---Glenn C. Altschuler, Huffington Post

You can learn a lot by reading [The Leaderless Economy]. . . . The authors are commendably alert throughout to the economic and political complexities involved.---Daniel Akst, Bloomberg News

A rigorous analysis of the collapse of the world economy in 2008--and why things don't seem to be getting better. . . . [S]obering.

"For the world economy to truly return to health, advanced nations must cut domestic spending and make it up through higher exports, while emerging economies must do the reverse. Fiscal policies, interest rates, and exchange rates must adjust. Can it happen? Will it happen? Temin and Vines say it can, but only through international cooperation. Otherwise, history tells us, there are good reasons to worry. A great read."—Olivier Blanchard, International Monetary Fund

Topics

Frontmatter Publicly Available Download PDF	i
CONTENTS Publicly Available Download PDF	vii
PREFACE Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	ix
ONE. The World Economy Is Broken Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	1
TWO. The British Century and the Great Depression Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	21
THREE. Keynes from the Macmillan Committee to Bretton Woods Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	59
FOUR .The American Century and the Global Financial Crisis Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	107
FIVE. Restoring International Balance in Europe Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	151
SIX. Restoring International Balance in the World Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	205
SEVEN. Using Theory to Learn from History Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	243
APPENDIX Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	257
NOTES Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	275
REFERENCES Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	283
INDEX Requires Authentication Unlicensed Licensed Download PDF	299

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