Abstract
Hausman, Hall, and Griliches [Hausman, J., H. B. Hall, and Z. Griliches. 1984. “Econometric Models for Count Data with an Application to the Patents-R & D Relationship.” Econometrica 52 (4): 909–938.] have defined the Poisson fixed effects (PFE) estimator to estimate models of panel data with count dependent variables under distributional assumptions conditional on covariates and unobserved heterogeneity, but without any restriction on the distribution of unobserved heterogeneity conditional on covariates. Wooldridge [Wooldridge, J. M. 1999. “Distribution-Free Estimation of some Nonlinear Panel Data Models.” Journal of Econometrics 90 (1): 77–97.] showed that the PFE estimator is actually consistent even if the distributional assumptions of the PFE model are violated, as long as the restrictions imposed on the conditional mean of the dependent variable are satisfied. In this note I study the efficiency of the PFE estimator in the absence of distributional assumptions. I show that the PFE estimator corresponds to the optimal estimator for random coefficients models of Chamberlain [Chamberlain, G. 1992. “Efficiency Bounds for Semiparametric Regression.” Econometrica 60 (3): 567–596.] in the particular case where the assumptions of equal conditional mean and variance and zero conditional serial correlation are satisfied, regardless of whether the distributional assumptions of the PFE model hold. For instance the dependent variable does not need to be a count variable. This local efficiency result, combined with the simplicity and robustness of the PFE estimator, should provide a useful additional justification for its use to estimate conditional mean models of panel data.
Appendix
A Efficient Estimation under Conditional Mean Restrictions
Recall the notation from the body of the text so that we have
Introducing some new notation, let
We will also use M[k] to denote the kth column vector (element) of the matrix (row vector) M.
Also let:
so that ρi=ρi(β0) can be rewritten as:
Lemma 1: Σi=Var(ρi|xi) is singular.
Proof. Since ρi=(I–Pi)yi and Pi is a function of xi, we simply have to show that (I–Pi) is singular.
First note that Pi is idempotent, so that I–Pi is idempotent as well.
Therefore:
since
Hence I–Pi is singular.□
Lemma 2:
Proof. We can rewrite Σi as:
Note that:
and:
Therefore:
Therefore:
Note that:
Therefore:
So
Lemma 3:The asymptotic variance of
Proof. Let
Since ρi=(I–Pi)yi, we have, for any k=1, …, dim(β0):
so that:
From this expression for Di we can show that
is consistent.
Consistency of (A.19) follows from:
and recalling
Therefore
Proof of Proposition 1.
Proof.Chamberlain (1992: p. 581), showed that the asymptotic information bound for estimating β0 from (1) is:
Note that:
Therefore:
Therefore we have:
Because
Hence from Lemma 3, for any choice of a symmetric generalized inverse of Σi,
Therefore, for any choice of
B Efficient Estimation under the Poisson Fixed Effects Assumptions
Lemma 4 provides a useful alternative characterization of
Lemma 4:
Proof. In the previous section we have shown that
This solution is unique since for any S,
□
Proof of Proposition 2
Proof. Under (8) and (9) we have
where the last equality follows from
Define:
where
Note that:
and:
Therefore:
Since both Σi and Xi are symmetric:
So in order to show that
For (B.1):
For (B.2):
where the second equality follows from the previous section of the appendix.
Therefore we have shown that in this case:
Therefore:
where j′=[1, …, 1] and, by an abuse of notation,
Note that:
so that:
Therefore:
Hence we have shown that under (1), (8) and (9):
Hence the asymptotic variance of
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