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A Formal Model of Arms Market with Cash-for-Favours

  • Partha Gangopadhyay EMAIL logo

Abstract

Both corruption and market imperfections are important facets of modern arms markets. In the standard literature of arms market, production, procurement, sales (exports) and purchases (imports) of arms take place in the shadow of corruption. Corruption is an integral part of the environment of the arms trade that exerts an influence upon the outcome in the arms market. In our work, we make corruption as a choice variable of the powerful players in the global arms market and examine the equilibrium consequence of corruption that is strategically chosen by armament firms. We develop a simple duopoly to characterize a perfect Nash equilibrium of cash-for-favors and establish perplexing comparative static properties of this equilibrium. The primary intuition here is that cash-for-favors can have serious impacts on the equilibrium of an oligopoly through their effects on the incentives of and constraints on individual firms. We offer a model of endogenous corruption, to our understanding for the first time, to examine the global arms market in order to establish that the equilibrium outcome in the arms market cannot be fully captured by the standard results of oligopoly. Researchers have to extremely careful in applying the standard tools of oligopoly to the arms market as our results suggest that endogenous corruption can reverse most of the known results of oligopoly.

JEL Codes: F1; H4

Corresponding author: Partha Gangopadhyay, School of Business, University of Western Sydney, NSW 1797, Australia, Phone: +61 2 9772 6710, E-mail:

Appendix

Proof of observation 1

The profit function of each firm at Stage II of the game is given by the following equations derived in the text:

(2a)Π1=aX1bX12bX1X2cX1+αX1T1βX1T2(kT12)/2, (2a)
(2a′)Π2=aX2bX22bX1X2cX2+αX2T1βX1T2(kT22)/2. (2a′)

From the first derivative of (2a) and (2a′) we get the first order condition as the following equations:

(2a″)a2bX1bX2c+(αk)T1βT2=0, (2a″)
(2a″)a2bX2bX1c+(αk)T2βT1=0. (2a″)

The second order condition holds as the second derivative of the profit function with respect to Xi is –2b and since b>0 from the downward sloped demand function. The reaction functions of the firms are given as the following:

(A.1.1)X1=[(ac)+(αk)T1βT2]/(2b)X1/2, (A.1.1)
(A.1.2)X2=[(ac)+(αk)T2βT1]/(2b)X2/2. (A.1.2)

The Cournot-Nash equilibrium is given by the values of X1 and X2 that simultaneously satisfy (A.1.1) and (A.1.2). Solving (A.1.1) and (A.1.2) simultaneously, we get the Cournot-Nash outputs as:

(A.1.3)X1*=[(ac)+(2α2k+β)T1(αk+2β))T2]/(3b), (A.1.3)
(A.1.4)X2*=[(ac)+2(αk+β)T2(αk+2β))T1]/(3b). (A.1.4)

If T1=T2=T*, then the Cournot-Nash equilibrium is reduced to:

(A.1.5)X1*=X2*=[(ac)/(3b)]+[(αkβ)/(3b)]T*. (A.1.5)

Substituting (A.1.3) and (A.1.4) in the demand function will give the price. QED.

Proof of proposition 1

In the text we have derived the profit function from the arms industry as the following:

(3f)Πi=p*Xi*+(αTiβTjc)Xi*kTi2. (3f)

Differentiating the first term of the right hand side (RHS) of (3f) with respect to T yields:

(B.1.1)(p*X*)T=4(αkβ)T+(4ca)(αkβ)(9b), (B.1.1)
(B.1.2)2(p*X*)T2=4(αkβ)(9b). (B.1.2)

Let us call the second term of the RHS of (3f) H:

(B.1.3)H=p*(αTiβTjc)Xi*. (B.1.3)

Substituting the Cournot-Nash equilibrium values of Xi* into (B.1.3) and differentiating with respect to T yields:

(B.1.4)HT=(αβ)(a2c)+ck+2(αkβ)(αβ)T(3b), (B.1.4)
(B.1.5)2HT2=(αβ)(αkβ)(3b). (B.1.5)

The equilibrium in the overall game calls forth the following first order condition:

(B.1.6)RiT=rT+ΠiT=0. (B.1.6)

The second order condition requires

(B.1.7)2RiT2=r+2ΠiT2<0. (B.1.7)

Substituting (B.1.1) and (B.1.4) yields the optimal T* as:

(5a)T*=T1*=T2*=2(ac)(αβ)+(4ca)k9(kr)b+4(αkβ)6(αβ)2. (5a)

Substituting (B.1.2) and (B.1.5) into (B.1.7) yields the second order condition for the maximization overall profits from the two-stage game as:

(B.1.8)2RiT2=(αβ)(αkβ)(3b)4(αkβ)(9b)k+r<0. (B.1.8)

Simplification of (B.1.8) yields the second order condition for the overall maximization of profits from the two-stage game:

(B.1.9)9b(kr)+4(αβ)(αkβ)6(αβ)26k(αβ)>0. (B.1.9)

QED.

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Published Online: 2014-7-11
Published in Print: 2014-8-1

© 2014 by De Gruyter

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