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Licensed Unlicensed Requires Authentication Published by De Gruyter August 31, 2015

Assessment of mycotoxin risk on corn in the Philippines under current and future climate change conditions

  • Arnold R. Salvacion EMAIL logo , Ireneo B. Pangga and Christian Joseph R. Cumagun

Abstract

This study attempts to assess the risk of mycotoxins (aflatoxins and fumonisins) contamination on corn in the Philippines under current and projected climate change conditions using fuzzy logic methodology based on the published range of temperature and rainfall conditions that favor mycotoxin development. Based on the analysis, projected climatic change will reduce the risk of aflatoxin contamination in the country due to increased rainfall. In the case of fumonisin contamination, most parts of the country are at a very high risk both under current conditions and the projected climate change conditions.


Corresponding author: Arnold R. Salvacion, Department of Community and Environmental Resource Planning, College of Human Ecology, University of the Philippines Baños, College 4031, Laguna, Philippines, E-mail:

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Received: 2015-7-15
Accepted: 2015-8-7
Published Online: 2015-8-31
Published in Print: 2015-8-1

©2015 by De Gruyter

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