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Licensed Unlicensed Requires Authentication Published by De Gruyter April 28, 2006

Estimating Behavioral Response to the AIDS Epidemic

  • M. Christopher Auld

The elasticity of risky sexual behavior to changes in local HIV infection prevalence is estimated using a longitudinal survey of the sexual behavior and health of gay men in San Francisco during the 1980s. An average respondent decreases risky behavior by about 5% in response to a 10% increase in disease prevalence. The average response obscures substantial variation across respondents: High-risk people reduce risky behavior less than low-risk people as prevalence increases. This result is consistent with the predictions of theoretical economic epidemiology and has implications for epidemic dynamics.

Published Online: 2006-4-28

©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston

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