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Accessible Unlicensed Requires Authentication Published by De Gruyter July 19, 2011

A Regression-Based Adjusted Plus-Minus Statistic for NHL Players

Brian Macdonald

The goal of this paper is to develop an adjusted plus-minus statistic for NHL players that is independent of both teammates and opponents. We use data from the shift reports on NHL.com in a weighted least squares regression to estimate an NHL player's effect on his team's success in scoring and preventing goals at even strength. Both offensive and defensive components of adjusted plus-minus are given, estimates in terms of goals per 60 minutes and goals per season are given, and estimates for forwards and defensemen are given.

Published Online: 2011-7-19

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