Skip to content
BY-NC-ND 3.0 license Open Access Published by De Gruyter Open Access May 12, 2016

Sustainable biomass supply and demand: a scenario analysis

  • Stephan Piotrowski , Michael Carus and Roland Essel
From the journal Open Agriculture

Abstract

This paper provides a concise summary and dis- cussion of key results of the study “Sustainable biomass potentials for biofuels in competition to food, feed, bioen- ergy and industrial material use in Germany, Europe and the world”. The scenario-analysis developed in this paper differentiates between the global level and the European Union level, providing a perspective on future trends and developments. Specifically, results of the present study provide a detailed view of possible scenarios for a sus- tainable supply of biomass until the year 2050, and of the development of demand in all biomass sectors: food, feed, chemicals and materials, bioenergy and biofuels. Due to this approach, one can clearly see under which assump- tions global supply shortages or a sufficient coverage of demand may occur.

References

Search in Google Scholar

[1] Alexandratos, N. and Bruinsma, J. 2012: World agriculture towards 2030/50: 2012 revision Search in Google Scholar

[2] Bentsen, N.S und C. Felby 2012: Biomass for energy in the European Union – a review of bioenergy resource assessments, Biotechnology for Biofuels 2012, 5:25 10.1186/1754-6834-5-25Search in Google Scholar PubMed PubMed Central

[3] Bringezu, S., O’Brien, M., Pengue, W., Swilling, M., Kauppi, L. 2010: Assessing global land use and soil management for sustainable resource policies, Scoping Paper of the WG Land & Soil of the International Panel for Sustainable Resource Management, November 2010 Search in Google Scholar

[4] Bringezu, S., Schütz, H., Pengue, W., O’Brien, M., Garcia, F., Sims, R., Howarth, R.W., Kauppi, L., Swilling, M., and J. Herrick 2014: Assessing global land use: Balancing consumption with sustainable supply Search in Google Scholar

[5] Council of the European Union 2009: EU Council Conclusions on EU position for the Copenhagen Climate Conference, October 21, 2009 Search in Google Scholar

[6] Dena 2015: The Power to Gas Strategy Platform (http://www. powertogas.info/plattform/information-in-english.html, last accessed 2015-03-12) Search in Google Scholar

[7] FAOSTAT (Food and Agriculture Organization Corporate Statistical Database) 2014: Statistical database of the FAO. (http://faostat.fao.org/site/339/default.aspx, last accessed 2015-03-19) Search in Google Scholar

[8] HLPE 2014: Food losses and waste in the context of sustainable food systems. A report by the High Level Panel of Experts on Food Security and Nutrition of the Committee on World Food Security, Rome 2014 Search in Google Scholar

[9] IEA (International Energy Agency) 2012: Technology Roadmap: Bioenergy for heat and power Search in Google Scholar

[10] IFAD (International Fund for Agricultural Development) 2013: Tackling land degradation and desertification (http://www.ifad. org/events/wssd/gef/gef_ifad.htm, last accessed 2015-03-30) Search in Google Scholar

[11] Mathijs, E., Brunori, G., Carus, M., Griffon, M., Last, L., Gill, M., Koljonen, T., Lehoczky, E., Olesen, I. and Potthast, A. 2015: Sustainable Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries in the Bioeconomy – A Challenge for Europe, June 2015 Search in Google Scholar

[12] Pimentel, D. 2006: Soil erosion: A food and environmental threat, in: Environment, Development and Sustainability (2006), pp. 119-137 Search in Google Scholar

[13] Piotrowski, S., Essel, R., Carus, M., Dammer, L., Engel, L. 2015: Nachhaltig nutzbare Potenziale für Biokraftstoffe in Nutzungskonkurrenz zur Lebens- und Futtermittelproduktion, Bioenergie sowie zur stofflichen Nutzung in Deutschland, Europa und der Welt (http://bio-based.eu/ecology/#biomassepotenziale) Search in Google Scholar

[14] Qadir, M., Quillérou, E., Nangia, V., Murtaza, G., Singh, M., Thomas, R.J., Drechsel, P. and A.D. Noble 2014: Economics of salt-induced land degradation and restoration, Natural Resources Forum 38(4), pp. 282-295, November 2014 10.1111/1477-8947.12054Search in Google Scholar

Received: 2016-03-22
Accepted: 2016-04-20
Published Online: 2016-05-12
Published in Print: 2016-01-01

© 2016 Stephan Piotrowski et al.

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Downloaded on 19.3.2024 from https://www.degruyter.com/document/doi/10.1515/opag-2016-0003/html
Scroll to top button