Misdiagnosis, in general, may account for 40,000–80,000 preventable deaths annually in US hospitals  and probably a comparable amount of disability . Physician-reported errors  and closed malpractice claims  indicate that stroke is among the most common dangerous missed diagnoses. One study found preventable deaths from stroke are attributed to diagnostic error over 30 times more often than deaths from myocardial infarction . A better understanding of factors that predispose to stroke misdiagnosis could help spur interventions to reduce them.
Stroke, including intracranial hemorrhage, affects about 800,000 annually in the United States (US), costing over $40 billion . Another 200,000–500,000 suffer a transient ischemic attack (TIA), a harbinger of impending stroke . Stroke is a leading cause of serious disability and death in the US  and worldwide . Early treatment improves stroke outcomes and lowers recurrent stroke risk by as much as 80% , so timely diagnosis is probably important. A systematic review estimated that about 9% of all strokes are not recognized at first medical contact .
Missed opportunities to diagnose a cerebrovascular cause for symptoms include missed stroke , missed TIA , and missed sentinel headaches from intracranial aneurysms . Preventable harm may result from missed opportunities for acute treatment  or management to avert a second, more serious stroke or complications of the initial stroke . Missed TIA and minor stroke (infarction without significant disability) or sentinel headache are often harbingers of major stroke within days or weeks without prompt intervention . Small studies suggest outcomes are worse with missed stroke. Initial misdiagnosis in mild subarachnoid hemorrhage conveys a three-fold greater odds of death or severe disability at 1 year (OR 3.1; 95% CI 1.2–7.7) . Mortality may be up to eight-fold greater (40% vs. 5%, p<0.001) for patients with misdiagnosed cerebellar infarctions .
Not all strokes are obvious clinically. Presenting symptoms that are nonspecific (e.g., dizziness ), mild (e.g., headache without mental status change ), or transient (e.g., temporary numbness ) are more likely to be misdiagnosed . Traditional stroke symptoms such as hemiplegia are rarely missed, but “non-traditional” stroke symptoms increase the odds of misdiagnosis 43-fold . Less is known about demographic and healthcare system determinants of stroke misdiagnosis. Younger patients [11, 20], women , minorities , and those triaged to lower acuity care or seen in non-teaching hospitals  may be at higher risk.
We sought to assess the risk and determinants of probable missed stroke in the ED on the population level, using linked ED and inpatient discharge data. Our aims were to: (1) estimate the likelihood of missed stroke diagnosis; (2) measure associations with patient, hospital, and ED visit characteristics; and (3) calculate the odds of missed stroke by those attributes.
Materials and methods
Study design and sample
Definitions and standards for determining diagnostic error vary . We defined a diagnostic error as a diagnosis that is “missed, wrong, or delayed, as detected by some subsequent definitive test or finding” . We used hospital admission with a discharge diagnosis of stroke as the “subsequent definitive test” and looked back in time from these “index” admissions for patients whose stroke-like symptoms were probably missed at a recent healthcare encounter in the ED. We used the terms ‘misdiagnosis’ and ‘diagnostic error’ interchangeably and did not distinguish among “missed,” “wrong,” or “delayed” diagnoses, as these distinctions are acknowledged to have little value in the study of diagnostic error . Since we lack granular clinical data, these terms are neutral as to whether an error in the diagnostic process was made, the misdiagnosis was preventable, or any harm resulted .
We conducted a retrospective, cross-sectional analysis of probable missed strokes using linked inpatient discharge records and ED visit records using Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) data from nine states with linkable records for the years 2008–2009 (for a detailed description of data sources, see Supplemental Data, Appendix 1, which accompanies the article at http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/dx.2014.1.issue-2/issue-files/dx.2014.1.issue-2.xml).
Outcome measures: potential and probable missed diagnoses
A potentially missed stroke diagnosis was defined as a patient with an inpatient hospital admission for stroke preceded by a treat-and-release ED visit in the prior 30 days diagnosed as anything other than a cerebrovascular diagnosis. Patients given a cerebrovascular diagnosis at a treat-and-release visit were considered correctly diagnosed ‘bouncebacks’ if their ED discharge was followed by a stroke readmission within 30 days. These potential errors represent a plausible upper boundary on the frequency of stroke misdiagnosis or mismanagement resulting in hospital readmission.
We defined probable misdiagnoses as the subset of potentially missed strokes with dizziness or headache-related diagnoses at the treat-and-release visit, since these are symptoms commonly caused by stroke but frequently misdiagnosed (e.g., benign dizziness, headaches) [11, 13, 18]. We used symptoms generally believed unrelated to stroke (e.g., back pain, abdominal pain) as control cases for comparison (i.e., likely incidental to the subsequent stroke admission) since these symptoms are rarely primary manifestations of acute stroke.
Analytic measures: demographic, facility, workflow, and visit characteristics
We identified patient characteristics of sex, age, race/ethnicity, payer, household income, and medical co-morbidities . Hospital characteristics included region, population size of the area, ownership, and teaching status. Workflow and visit characteristics included annual volume statistics (inpatient occupancy, total ED visits, average admission fraction) and visit characteristics for the initial treat-and-release visit (weekend vs. weekday, ED crowding that day, ED admission fraction that day, and whether the patient left the ED against medical advice).
We examined adult (≥18 years old at the admission date) stroke admissions via the ED in calendar year 2009. We analyzed patients <18 years separately. We assessed the 20 most common diagnostic groups from ED visits with potential misdiagnoses (see Supplemental Data, Appendix 1 for a detailed description of diagnosis groupings). To test our hypothesis regarding the association between symptoms and missed stroke, we performed a visit-level analysis, calculating the frequency and distribution of diagnoses (observed) relative to a reference ED population (expected). To examine the association of a probable misdiagnosis with patient and hospital characteristics, we performed a person-level analysis, allowing only a single admission and single ED visit per patient. For person-level multivariate analyses, we used generalized estimation equation (GEE) models  to analyze the odds of a probable stroke misdiagnosis among adult patients admitted for stroke (with or without prior treat-and-release ED visits), controlling for patient and facility characteristics.
We conducted several validation checks to ensure coherence between our misdiagnosis construct and the results we report. First, we compared the distribution of ED diagnoses in those with potential misdiagnoses to a general ED sample of treat-and-release visits, drawn from the same national sample as our cases and controls (see Supplemental Data, Appendix 1 for details). We anticipated that the relative distribution of diagnoses would be skewed toward dizziness and headaches (known to be associated with stroke) and away from back or abdominal pain (known to not be associated with stroke). Second, we assessed the temporal profile of probable missed diagnoses within the 30-day window prior to index stroke admission. We hypothesized readmissions would be disproportionate in the first few days after the initial ED treat-and-release and diminish over time, as shown previously for major stroke after TIA and minor stroke . Third, we analyzed the association between stroke type (TIA, ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, subarachnoid hemorrhage) and initial presenting symptom. We hypothesized that dizziness/vestibular diagnoses would be associated with ischemic events (TIA or stroke) and headache/migraine diagnoses would be linked to hemorrhages (often misdiagnosed as benign headaches) and TIAs (often misdiagnosed as migraine-related transient neurologic symptoms).
Frequencies and distributions
Figure 1 shows data flow. Of 198,819 stroke admissions in 2009, 187,188 (94%) had complete and administratively correct records for analysis. Of these, 28,248 (15.1%) were potentially missed or ‘bouncebacks’ and 23,809 (12.7%) were potentially missed strokes (i.e., discharged from the initial ED visit with a non-cerebrovascular diagnosis).
The 20 most common reasons for the initial ED visit among those potentially missed or ‘bouncebacks’ are shown in Table 1. Most potential misdiagnoses involved none of the targeted ‘case’ or ‘control’ diagnoses, but these ‘other’ diagnoses were, in aggregate, under-represented relative to an average ED treat-and-release population (Table 2). Patients with an initial cerebrovascular diagnosis were the most likely to return for a stroke admission (Table 2). As hypothesized, those released with dizziness or headache (probable misdiagnoses) were over-represented, while back pain or abdominal pain diagnoses (control conditions) were under-represented (Table 2; Supplemental Data, Appendix 2 contains data for patients <18 years). Among potential misdiagnoses, 10.4% involved a dizziness or headache diagnosis (i.e., probable misdiagnoses), representing 1.2% of all stroke admissions. Dizziness was associated predominantly with missed ischemic strokes, whereas headache was associated with both ischemic and hemorrhagic forms of stroke (Table 3). Temporal profile analysis (Figure 2; Supplemental Data, Appendix 3) indicated that treat-and-release ED visits for probable misdiagnoses were clustered in the few days prior to the hospital admission for stroke, compatible with the known biology of TIA and minor stroke preceding major, disabling stroke . This is in contrast to controls with back problems or abdominal pain whose visits were evenly distributed throughout the 30-day window (Figure 2). Note also that among other diagnoses (non-stroke, non-dizziness/headache, non-back/abdominal pain), a similar clustering was observed (Supplemental Data, Appendix 3), arguing that some of these potential misdiagnoses, which outnumbered the dizziness/headache diagnoses, were also likely true misdiagnoses.
Multivariate analysis of patient and hospital characteristics associated with probable missed stroke diagnoses is shown in Table 4.
Males had 25% lower odds of misdiagnosis (OR 0.75; p<0.001). Increasing age was associated with decreasing odds of missed stroke diagnosis; compared to age 18–44, odds for other age groups were: 45–64: OR 0.43; 65–74: OR 0.28; 75+: OR 0.19 (all p<0.001). The proportion of probable missed strokes in each age group was: 3.98% (18–44), 1.70% (45–64), 0.91% (65–74), 0.59% (75+). Compared to non-Hispanic White patients, others had higher odds of a missed stroke diagnosis: Black (OR 1.18; p=0.02), Asian/Pacific Islander (OR 1.29; p=0.02), and Hispanic (OR 1.30; p<0.001).
Privately-insured patients had the highest odds of a missed stroke. In comparison, lower odds of missed stroke were demonstrated by patients with Medicare at 34% (OR 0.66; p<0.001), Medicaid at 30% (OR 0.70; p<0.001), and “other payer” at 37% (OR 0.63; p=0.003). Patient income level had no incremental association with missed stroke. The presence of medical comorbidities was associated with reduced odds of stroke misdiagnosis. Each additional comorbidity decreased the incremental odds of a missed diagnosis by 7% (p=0.02).
Relative to large metropolitan areas, patients in facilities located in small metropolitan areas demonstrated 23% lower odds of a missed stroke (OR 0.77; p=0.003). Large metropolitan, micropolitan, and rural locations did not differ. Non-teaching hospitals demonstrated 45% higher odds of missed stroke than teaching hospitals (OR 1.45; p<0.001). Compared to hospitals with high ED volume, hospitals with low volume demonstrated 57% higher odds of missed stroke (OR 1.57; p=0.007). The region of the country where the facility was located and facility ownership were not associated with stroke misdiagnosis.
Hospital workflow and ED visit characteristics
The overall facility inpatient occupancy rate was not associated with the likelihood of misdiagnosis, but the overall annual admission rate from the ED and the ED admission rate on the day of the ED visit were both inversely related to missed stroke (i.e., higher admission rates correlated with lower odds of misdiagnosis). By contrast, relative ED crowding (ratio of ED visits that day to the maximum one-day ED volume in that year) was not associated with missed stroke. Visits taking place on weekdays had 11% higher odds of a missed stroke than those occurring on weekends (OR 1.11; p<0.04). Compared to those not discharged against medical advice, 81 individuals (3.7%) who left the ED against medical advice demonstrated nearly three times the odds of missed stroke (OR 2.94; p<0.001).
Overall missed stroke estimates
To our knowledge, this is the first large-scale, multi-regional study to examine clinical, hospital, and visit-related predictors of missed diagnosis of stroke in US EDs. Using 30-day readmission for stroke, we found that 12.7% of stroke admissions were potentially misdiagnosed. The top two potential misdiagnoses preceding a stroke readmission were headache and dizziness. This finding is consonant with previous studies indicating these particular symptoms are often associated with missed strokes [10, 14, 18, 20, 23, 28, 29]. These probable misdiagnoses accounted for 1.2% of all strokes admissions and 10.4% of potential misdiagnoses. Thus, we estimate that the overall prevalence of misdiagnosis followed by delayed hospital admission after ED discharge ranges between 1.2% and 12.7% of all stroke admissions. With 1.3 million new or recurrent cerebrovascular events per year in the US , this corresponds to approximately 15,000 to 165,000 missed strokes and TIAs annually. Most missed strokes were ischemic rather than hemorrhagic (ratio 5:1), roughly in proportion to their population prevalence . The impact and preventability of these misdiagnoses remains unknown.
Previous estimates of ED stroke misdiagnosis rates range from as low as 1.2% (considering admitted patients at an academic teaching hospital but not those discharged from the ED ) to as high as 50% (for predominantly Hispanic patients presenting with isolated dizziness or vertigo to non-teaching hospital EDs in Nueces County, Texas ). Our findings accord with the results of a systematic review (9.2% missed among more than 5000 patients with stroke from seven studies ) and the only population-based study of all-stroke misdiagnosis identified in that review (8.5% missed among 1800 patients with stroke in rural Texas ).
The current study’s 1.2% estimate for probable misdiagnosis is conservative. It does not count those who suffered no major adverse event (i.e., readmission); those with an erroneous diagnosis other than dizziness or headache (e.g., “gastroenteritis” diagnosed at the treat-and-release visit, with cerebellar infarction identified during the subsequent visit and hospitalization ); those with stroke at the initial ED visit admitted to a non-stroke clinical service with the wrong tentative diagnosis; those whose causally-related stroke occurred more than 30 days after an initial ED visit (e.g., carotid artery dissection presenting with headache, followed by a stroke at day 31 ); or those who suffered fatal stroke after ED treat-and-release. Although some initial ED visits we counted as probable misdiagnoses might have been coincidental, the fact that most were clustered in the few days before the stroke admission suggests otherwise. This temporal pattern with the highest risk in the first 48 h after discharge matches the time window of greatest risk for major stroke after TIA and minor stroke, where about three-fourths of the 30-day risk occurs in the first week . It is further corroborated by the fact that this pattern was not observed for control subjects (Figure 2).
As we hypothesized, dizziness and headache visits were over-represented while back and abdominal pain visits were under-represented among subsequent stroke admissions. The odds of a dizziness discharge preceding a stroke admission were 2.4-times expected, and headache discharges were 1.9-times expected. This is not surprising, given prior smaller-scale studies suggesting that presentations with isolated dizziness and headaches caused by stroke are more often misdiagnosed. For example, population-based studies in Texas found ischemic stroke misdiagnosis rates of 4% for patients with motor symptoms, 35% for those with dizziness, and 50% for those with isolated dizziness (i.e., with no other neurological symptoms) [18, 31]. Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhages are more likely to be misdiagnosed when they present with isolated headache (19%) versus with accompanying mental status changes (5%) . Strokes presenting with only “non-traditional” symptoms are misdiagnosed frequently compared to those with “traditional” symptoms (64% vs. 4%, OR 43.4; 95% CI 15.0–125.4) . Considered with our findings, these results suggest that clinical presentations with “atypical” or “mild” stroke symptoms likely have relevance at a national level and should be targeted for misdiagnosis-reduction interventions.
Age was strongly (and inversely) associated with misdiagnosis. Those older than 75 years were 80% less likely to be misdiagnosed than those 18–44, corroborating data from small studies showing mostly young patients among those misdiagnosed [11, 20]. It is probably not surprising that stroke, generally considered a disease of the elderly, would be misdiagnosed in the young. Although missing strokes in younger patients may result from appropriate diagnostic reasoning that considers age-specific prevalence, clinical decision rules to detect stroke in dizziness  and headache  are not age dependent and may enable efficient bedside stroke detection using history and physical examination, even in patients with low baseline prevalence.
Women were at greater odds of misdiagnosis, and a greater frequency of non-classic stroke presentations could be to blame , as with acute coronary syndromes . Women are also more likely to experience dizziness and headaches of benign cause [37–39], increasing the challenge of differentiating strokes from stroke mimics. Hispanic and non-White patients were more likely to be misdiagnosed, in keeping with prior studies of stroke  and myocardial infarction . The causes of this racial disparity are not clear, but some evidence suggests that diagnostic stroke workups are less thorough for Hispanics . Greater vigilance for stroke in women, minorities, and younger patients appears warranted.
Comorbid conditions may increase the suspicion of stroke or be associated with greater overall likelihood of admission, so it seems reasonable that lesser comorbidity was associated with greater likelihood of missed stroke. Private insurance was a risk factor for misdiagnosis relative to both Medicare and Medicaid but income was not, perhaps suggesting that private insurance was a partial surrogate for lower medical comorbidity or complexity, or that private insurance reduced the likelihood of initial admission in a nonspecific way.
Hospital characteristics, workflow, and ED visit characteristics
Hospitals with high annual ED volume and teaching hospitals had lower odds of misdiagnosis. Whether these differences reflect greater diagnostic acumen, a lower threshold for additional diagnostic testing, or a general tendency toward admission driven by profit motive or legal conservatism remains uncertain. There was no geographic variation by hospital region but, somewhat surprisingly, hospitals located in large metropolitan areas were more likely to miss stroke than those in small metropolitan areas. The source of this variation is unclear, but it matches that found in a similarly conducted analysis of HCUP data for misdiagnosis of acute myocardial infarction , so probably merits further investigation.
One of the largest factors identified in this study was progressively greater odds of misdiagnosis on days with lower ED admission rates – more than six-fold higher on days in the lowest ED admission rate quintile. It seems sensible that discharging a greater fraction of ED patients would be associated with a greater likelihood of misdiagnosis. Although there are many plausible explanations, one possibility could be that different ED physicians have different risk thresholds for obtaining diagnostic workups and admitting patients , resulting in substantial day-to-day variations in admission rates that correlate with the likelihood of misdiagnosis.
Although ED crowding as measured here was not associated with missed stroke, leaving against medical advice was associated with a 2.9-fold increase in odds of misdiagnosis. Since leaving against medical advice is associated with ED crowding , the impact of crowding on misdiagnosis should be explored further in future studies. The finding of greater odds of misdiagnosis on weekdays runs counter to findings from prior studies and should be interpreted with caution. Further study of hospital and physician determinants of misdiagnosis is warranted.
Implications for diagnostic error research
The analytic methods described in this manuscript hold promise as a possible trigger tool  or metric for identifying and assessing the overall burden of dangerous diagnostic errors in the ED using administrative data. Although generic ED revisit analyses do not predict errors well , the specific symptom-disease pair approach has been used successfully to identify diagnostic errors based on ED revisit analyses . Our novel approach of referencing observed (‘cases’) versus expected (‘control’) distributions of symptoms at ED visits offers two important advantages over prior methods. First, it serves as an important clinical validity check on the accuracy of results derived from billing data. Second, it offers insight into the relative risks of misdiagnosis across a range of symptoms, allowing prioritization across symptoms-disease pairs. From an epidemiologic perspective, our ‘look-back’ approach (from revisit/harm back to initial presentation) could be used to identify symptom-disease pairs that are prevalent and high-risk for misdiagnosis-related harm. These highest-impact symptom-disease pairs could then be monitored using ‘look-forward’ approaches (from initial presentation to revisit/harm) .
Implications for clinical care
Reducing ED stroke misdiagnosis may not be easy. Despite the rapid increase in use of advanced neuroimaging and other expensive laboratory diagnostic tests , there is little evidence that this “technocentric” approach correctly diagnoses more strokes [47, 48]. Routine access to neurologists, advocated by some , is probably impractical. Telestroke consultation could be cost-effective for accessing expertise remotely . Unfortunately, tele-consults do not directly address atypical cases most likely to be missed , since consultation may not be sought. Computer-based diagnostic decision support may someday help, but no systems have yet demonstrated real-world benefit in stroke diagnosis . Bedside methods for identifying high-risk patients [33, 34, 52–54] offer evidence-based , cost-effective  alternatives. Efforts to disseminate these history and physical examination-based approaches outside of specialty circles [56–58], possibly assisted by emerging device-based technologies , could be a promising strategy to reduce misdiagnosis. Implementations should be coupled to misdiagnosis metrics similar to those used here to objectively demonstrate error reduction.
Limitations relate primarily to use of administrative data (without granular clinical details) and cross-sectional study design. All misdiagnoses reported here are inferred, since charts could not be directly reviewed; thus we could not control or adjust for potential confounding related to comorbidities. Administrative errors in coding may have influenced the results, and it is possible that some inpatient stroke diagnoses were incorrect. Misdiagnosed strokes not resulting in readmission were not captured. Some probable misdiagnoses may have been coincidental, and many of the ‘bounceback’ cases (stroke discharge followed by readmission) may have been unavoidable. Our cross-sectional results can only determine associations, not causation. Our categories of ‘probable’ and ‘possible’ misdiagnoses have not been previously validated with ‘gold standard’ cases where misdiagnosis status was known definitively. Unmeasured factors that could influence odds of misdiagnosis (e.g., physician training, experience, or risk aversion; ready availability of neuroimaging or neurologic consultation in the ED; stroke center certification ) might confound the association with some of our measured predictors (e.g., hospital type, ED admission fraction). Some known predictors of misdiagnosis (e.g., ED triage severity level ) could not be measured. Multivariate associations may partly reflect specific attributes of misdiagnosis related to headache and dizziness, so may not generalize completely to other clinical presentations of stroke. Harm and preventability could not be directly assessed; it is unknown how many of those misdiagnosed underwent appropriate neuroimaging. Although the sample is large (187,188 patients and 1016 hospitals), this work is based on data derived from only nine US states, does not consider non-ED (e.g., primary care) missed stroke, and might not be generalizable to other settings nationally or internationally.
Although further research is needed to confirm our findings using more direct methods of diagnostic error detection (e.g., direct chart review), our present study strongly suggests stroke misdiagnosis can be measured using administrative data. Stroke misdiagnoses appear to be associated preferentially with dizziness and headache presentations. This study provides some immediate suggestions to ED physicians who are evaluating patients with these symptoms – be more attuned to the possibility of stroke in younger, female, and non-White patients. Though ‘simple’, indiscriminate use of neuroimaging will not prove an effective strategy to detect stroke in these patients [47, 48, 55]. Instead, clinicians should leverage well-studied bedside methods to identify dizziness and headache patients at high risk for stroke [33, 34, 52–54].
General policy recommendations for hospitals and other healthcare stakeholders are less clear, pending further substantive research on methods to measure misdiagnosis and strategies to reduce them in the ED. Funding agencies should support studies to develop and refine revisit analyses as a means to measure the burden of misdiagnosis in the ED, along with systematic study of disparities in misdiagnosis based on sex, age, and race/ethnicity. Without robust measurement methods, it will be impossible to assess the impact of interventions. Although many general solutions to help reduce misdiagnosis have been developed, none have yet been properly studied for their impact on patient outcomes . Problem-specific solutions may hold more promise than general ones , and model-based economic analyses could help guide evidence-based policy development for misdiagnosis problems causing the greatest harms . Future research should seek to identify targeted error-reduction interventions to reduce stroke misdiagnosis and improve patient outcomes at reasonable cost.
Conflict of interest statement↩
Authors’ conflict of interest disclosure: The authors stated that there are no conflicts of interest regarding the publication of this article. Research funding played no role in thestudy design; in the collection, analysis, and interpretationof data; in the writing of the report; or in the decision tosubmit the report for publication.↩
Disclosure of potential conflicts of interests, including financial interests and relationships: The authors from Thomson Reuters were under contract to the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. The author from Johns Hopkins University was under contract to Thomson Reuters.↩
Sources of funding and support; an explanation of the role of sponsor(s): The analysis and preparation of this manuscript were funded by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.↩
Important disclaimers: The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality or the US Department of Health and Human Services.↩
Information on previous presentation of the information reported in the manuscript: Presented in abstract form at two national meetings (ISPOR 2012, DEM 2012).↩
Authors’ contributions:David Newman-Toker: Assisted in study design and analysis from conception through completion; Authored introduction, discussion, and conclusion sections and revised article for important intellectual content; Approved final. Ernest Moy: Assisted in study design and analysis from conception through completion; Directed work and revised drafts for important intellectual content; Approved final. Ernest Valente: Designed study and analysis; Authored methods and results sections and revised article for important intellectual content; Approved final. Rosanna Coffey: Assisted in study design and analysis from conception through completion; Revised drafts critically for important intellectual content; Approved final. Anika Hines: Assisted in study design; Helped interpret statistical results; Approved final.↩
Information on author access to data: Ernest Valente had full access to all of the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.↩
All persons who have made substantial contributions to the work but who are not authors: The analysis included data from the following Partners of the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project: California Office of Statewide Planning and Development, Florida Agency for Health Care Administration, Hawaii Health Information Corporation, Massachusetts Division of Health Care Finance and Policy, Missouri Hospital Industry Data Institute, Nebraska Hospital Association, New York State Department of Health, South Carolina State Budget & Control Board, and Tennessee Hospital Association. We would also like to acknowledge Marguerite Barrett for guidance on HCUP data, Minya Sheng for programming support, Arpit Misra for analytic support, and Linda Lee for editorial assistance.↩
IRB Approval: No human subjects were involved in the preparation of this manuscript, and no IRB approval was required.↩
Newman-Toker DE, Pronovost PJ. Diagnostic errors–the next frontier for patient safety. J Am Med Assoc 2009;301: 1060–2.
Saber Tehrani AS, Lee H, Mathews SC, Shore A, Makary MA, Pronovost PJ, et al. 25-Year summary of US malpractice claims for diagnostic errors 1986-2010: an analysis from the National Practitioner Data Bank. BMJ Qual Saf 2013;22:672–80.
Schiff GD, Hasan O, Kim S, Abrams R, Cosby K, Lambert BL, et al. Diagnostic error in medicine: analysis of 583 physician-reported errors. Arch Intern Med 2009;169:1881–7.
Kachalia A, Gandhi TK, Puopolo AL, Yoon C, Thomas EJ, Griffey R, et al. Missed and delayed diagnoses in the emergency department: a study of closed malpractice claims from 4 liability insurers. Ann Emerg Med 2007;49:196–205. [Crossref]
Dubois RW, Brook RH. Preventable deaths: who, how often, and why? Ann Intern Med 1988;109:582–9. [Crossref]
Roger VL, Go AS, Lloyd-Jones DM, Benjamin EJ, Berry JD, Borden WB, et al. Heart disease and stroke statistics – 2012 update: a report from the American Heart Association. Circulation 2012;125:e2–e220.
Stroke Fact Sheet. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/dhdsp/data_statistics/fact_sheets/fs_stroke.htm. Accessed: 7 Feb 2014.
Johnston SC, Mendis S, Mathers CD. Global variation in stroke burden and mortality: estimates from monitoring, surveillance, and modelling. Lancet Neurol 2009;8:345–54. [Crossref]
Rothwell PM, Giles MF, Chandratheva A, Marquardt L, Geraghty O, Redgrave JN, et al. Effect of urgent treatment of transient ischaemic attack and minor stroke on early recurrent stroke (EXPRESS study): a prospective population-based sequential comparison. Lancet 2007;370:1432–42.
Newman-Toker DE, Robinson KA, Edlow JA. Frontline misdiagnosis of cerebrovascular events in the era of modern neuroimaging: a systematic review [abstract]. AnnNeurol 2008;64:S17–S8.
Savitz SI, Caplan LR, Edlow JA. Pitfalls in the diagnosis of cerebellar infarction. Acad Emerg Med 2007;14:63–8. [Crossref]
Ferro JM, Falcao I, Rodrigues G, Canhao P, Melo TP, Oliveira V, et al. Diagnosis of transient ischemic attack by the nonneurologist. A validation study. Stroke 1996;27:2225–9. [Crossref]
Kowalski RG, Claassen J, Kreiter KT, Bates JE, Ostapkovich ND, Connolly ES, et al. Initial misdiagnosis and outcome after subarachnoid hemorrhage. J Am Med Assoc 2004;291:866–9.
Kuruvilla A, Bhattacharya P, Rajamani K, Chaturvedi S. Factors associated with misdiagnosis of acute stroke in young adults. J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis 2011;20:523–7. [Crossref]
Edlow JA, Newman-Toker DE, Savitz SI. Diagnosis and initial management of cerebellar infarction. Lancet Neurol 2008;7:951–64. [Crossref]
Rothwell PM, Buchan A, Johnston SC. Recent advances in management of transient ischaemic attacks and minor ischaemic strokes. Lancet Neurol 2006;5:323–31. [Crossref]
Tarnutzer AA, Berkowitz AL, Robinson KA, Hsieh YH, Newman-Toker DE. Does my dizzy patient have a stroke? A systematic review of bedside diagnosis in acute vestibular syndrome. CMAJ 2011;183:E571–92.
Kerber KA, Brown DL, Lisabeth LD, Smith MA, Morgenstern LB. Stroke among patients with dizziness, vertigo, and imbalance in the emergency department: a population-based study. Stroke 2006;37:2484–7. [Crossref]
Lever NM, Nystrom KV, Schindler JL, Halliday J, Wira C, 3rd, Funk M. Missed opportunities for recognition of ischemic stroke in the emergency department. Journal of emergency nursing: JEN 2012 May 25.
Bhattacharya P, Nagaraja N, Rajamani K, Madhavan R, Santhakumar S, Chaturvedi S. Early use of MRI improves diagnostic accuracy in young adults with stroke. J Neurol Sci 2013;324:62–4. [Crossref]
Gargano JW, Wehner S, Reeves MJ. Do presenting symptoms explain sex differences in emergency department delays among patients with acute stroke? Stroke 2009;40:1114–20. [Crossref]
Cruz-Flores S, Rabinstein A, Biller J, Elkind MS, Griffith P, Gorelick PB, et al. Racial-ethnic disparities in stroke care: the American experience: a statement for healthcare professionals from the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association. Stroke 2011;42:2091–116. [Crossref]
Vermeulen MJ, Schull MJ. Missed diagnosis of subarachnoid hemorrhage in the emergency department. Stroke 2007;38:1216–21. [Crossref]
Newman-Toker DE. A unified conceptual model for diagnostic errors: underdiagnosis, overdiagnosis, and misdiagnosis. Diagnosis 2014;1:43–8.
Graber M. Diagnostic errors in medicine: a case of neglect. Jt Comm J Qual Patient Saf 2005;31:106–13.
Elixhauser A, Steiner C, Harris DR, Coffey RM. Comorbidity measures for use with administrative data. Med Care 1998;36:8–27. [Crossref]
Liang KY, Zeger SL. Longitudinal data analysis using generalized linear models. Biometrika 1986;73:13–22. [Crossref]
Kim AS, Fullerton HJ, Johnston SC. Risk of vascular events in emergency department patients discharged home with diagnosis of dizziness or vertigo. Ann Emerg Med 2011;57:34–41. [Crossref]
Paul NL, Simoni M, Rothwell PM. Transient isolated brainstem symptoms preceding posterior circulation stroke: a population-based study. Lancet Neurology 2013;12:65–71. [Crossref]
Kothari RU, Brott T, Broderick JP, Hamilton CA. Emergency physicians. Accuracy in the diagnosis of stroke. Stroke 1995;26:2238–41. [Crossref]
Morgenstern LB, Lisabeth LD, Mecozzi AC, Smith MA, Longwell PJ, McFarling DA, et al. A population-based study of acute stroke and TIA diagnosis. Neurology 2004;62:895–900. [Crossref]
Biousse V, D’Anglejan-Chatillon J, Touboul PJ, Amarenco P, Bousser MG. Time course of symptoms in extracranial carotid artery dissections. A series of 80 patients. Stroke 1995;26:235–9. [Crossref]
Kattah JC, Talkad AV, Wang DZ, Hsieh YH, Newman-Toker DE. HINTS to diagnose stroke in the acute vestibular syndrome: three-step bedside oculomotor examination more sensitive than early MRI diffusion-weighted imaging. Stroke 2009;40: 3504–10. [Crossref]
Perry JJ, Stiell IG, Sivilotti ML, Bullard MJ, Hohl CM, Sutherland J, et al. Clinical decision rules to rule out subarachnoid hemorrhage for acute headache. J Am Med Assoc 2013;310:1248–55.
Labiche LA, Chan W, Saldin KR, Morgenstern LB. Sex and acute stroke presentation. Ann Emerg Med 2002;40:453–60. [Crossref]
Washington DL, Bird CE. Sex differences in disease presentation in the emergency department. Ann Emerg Med 2002;40:461–3. [Crossref]
von Brevern M, Radtke A, Lezius F, Feldmann M, Ziese T, Lempert T, et al. Epidemiology of benign paroxysmal positional vertigo: a population based study. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 2007;78:710–5. [Crossref]
Neuhauser HK, Radtke A, von Brevern M, Feldmann M, Lezius F, Ziese T, et al. Migrainous vertigo: prevalence and impact on quality of life. Neurology 2006;67:1028–33. [Crossref]
Rasmussen BK. Epidemiology of headache. Cephalalgia 2001;21:774–7. [Crossref]
Moy E, Kassed C, Barrett M, Coffey R, Hines A, editors. Missed diagnoses of acute myocardial infarction in the emergency department: an exploration using HCUP data. AHRQ Annual Meeting; 2010; Bethesda, Maryland [abstract].
Brown DL, Lisabeth LD, Garcia NM, Smith MA, Morgenstern LB. Emergency department evaluation of ischemic stroke and TIA: the BASIC Project. Neurology 2004;63:2250–4. [Crossref]
Pearson SD, Goldman L, Orav EJ, Guadagnoli E, Garcia TB, Johnson PA, et al. Triage decisions for emergency department patients with chest pain: do physicians’ risk attitudes make the difference? J Gen Intern Med 1995;10:557–64. [Crossref]
Bernstein SL, Aronsky D, Duseja R, Epstein S, Handel D, Hwang U, et al. The effect of emergency department crowding on clinically oriented outcomes. Academic emergency medicine: official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine 2009;16:1–10.
Singh H, Giardina TD, Forjuoh SN, Reis MD, Kosmach S, Khan MM, et al. Electronic health record-based surveillance of diagnostic errors in primary care. BMJ Qual Saf 2012;21:93–100. [Crossref]
Pham JC, Kirsch TD, Hill PM, DeRuggerio K, Hoffmann B. Seventy-two-hour returns may not be a good indicator of safety in the emergency department: a national study. Acad Emerg Med 2011;18:390–7. [Crossref]
Iglehart JK. Health insurers and medical-imaging policy–a work in progress. N Engl J Med 2009;360:1030–7.
Kerber KA, Schweigler L, West BT, Fendrick AM, Morgenstern LB. Value of computed tomography scans in ED dizziness visits: analysis from a nationally representative sample. Am J Emerg Med 2010;28:1030–6. [Crossref]
Kim AS, Sidney S, Klingman JG, Johnston SC. Practice variation in neuroimaging to evaluate dizziness in the ED. Am J Emerg Med 2012;30:665–72. [Crossref]
Caplan LR. Dizziness: how do patients describe dizziness and how do emergency physicians use these descriptions for diagnosis? Mayo ClinProc 2007;82:1313–5. [Crossref]
Nelson RE, Saltzman GM, Skalabrin EJ, Demaerschalk BM, Majersik JJ. The cost-effectiveness of telestroke in the treatment of acute ischemic stroke. Neurology 2011;77:1590–8. [Crossref]
McDonald KM, Matesic B, Contopoulos-Ioannidis DG, Lonhart J, Schmidt E, Pineda N, et al. Patient safety strategies targeted at diagnostic errors: a systematic review. Ann Intern Med 2013;158:381–9.
Newman-Toker DE, Kerber KA, Hsieh YH, Pula JH, Omron R, Saber Tehrani AS, et al. HINTS Outperforms ABCD2 to Screen for Stroke in Acute Continuous Vertigo and Dizziness. Acad Emerg Med 2013;20:986–96.
Perry JJ, Stiell IG, Sivilotti ML, Bullard MJ, Lee JS, Eisenhauer M, et al. High risk clinical characteristics for subarachnoid haemorrhage in patients with acute headache: prospective cohort study. Br Med J 2010;341:c5204.
Newman-Toker DE, Edlow JA. High-stakes diagnostic decision rules for serious disorders: the Ottawa subarachnoid hemorrhage rule. J Am Med Assoc 2013;310:1237–9.
Newman-Toker DE, McDonald KM, Meltzer DO. How much diagnostic safety can we afford, and how should we decide? A health economics perspective. BMJ Qual Saf 2013;22(Suppl 2):ii11–ii20.
Website: Weingart S. EMCrit Podcast 33 – Diagnosis of Posterior Stroke. Available at: http://emcrit.org/podcasts/posterior-stroke/. Accessed on 7 Feb 2014.
Website: Nelson JA. Head impulse test for the patient with vertigo who can not walk. Available at: http://emphysicaldiagnosis.com/2011/04/04/head-impulse-test-for-the-patient-with-vertigo-who-can-not-walk/. Accessed on 7 Feb 2014.
Website: Lin M. Paucis Verbis: acute vestibular syndrome and HINTS exam Available at: http://academiclifeinem.blogspot.com/2011/12/paucis-verbis-acute-vestibular-syndrome.html. Accessed on 7 Feb 2014.
Newman-Toker DE, Saber Tehrani AS, Mantokoudis G, Pula JH, Guede CI, Kerber KA, et al. Quantitative video-oculography to help diagnose stroke in acute vertigo and dizziness: toward an ECG for the eyes. Stroke 2013;44:1158–61. [Crossref]
Ballard DW, Reed ME, Huang J, Kramer BJ, Hsu J, Chettipally U. Does primary stroke center certification change ED diagnosis, utilization, and disposition of patients with acute stroke? Am J Emerg Med 2012;30:1152–62. [Crossref]
About the article
Published Online: 2014-04-03
Published in Print: 2014-06-01
Conflict of interest statement
Authors’ conflict of interest disclosure: The authors stated that there are no conflicts of interest regarding the publication of this article. Research funding played no role in thestudy design; in the collection, analysis, and interpretationof data; in the writing of the report; or in the decision tosubmit the report for publication.
Disclosure of potential conflicts of interests, including financial interests and relationships: The authors from Thomson Reuters were under contract to the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. The author from Johns Hopkins University was under contract to Thomson Reuters.
Sources of funding and support; an explanation of the role of sponsor(s): The analysis and preparation of this manuscript were funded by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.
Important disclaimers: The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality or the US Department of Health and Human Services.
Information on previous presentation of the information reported in the manuscript: Presented in abstract form at two national meetings (ISPOR 2012, DEM 2012).
Authors’ contributions:David Newman-Toker: Assisted in study design and analysis from conception through completion; Authored introduction, discussion, and conclusion sections and revised article for important intellectual content; Approved final. Ernest Moy: Assisted in study design and analysis from conception through completion; Directed work and revised drafts for important intellectual content; Approved final. Ernest Valente: Designed study and analysis; Authored methods and results sections and revised article for important intellectual content; Approved final. Rosanna Coffey: Assisted in study design and analysis from conception through completion; Revised drafts critically for important intellectual content; Approved final. Anika Hines: Assisted in study design; Helped interpret statistical results; Approved final.
Information on author access to data: Ernest Valente had full access to all of the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
All persons who have made substantial contributions to the work but who are not authors: The analysis included data from the following Partners of the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project: California Office of Statewide Planning and Development, Florida Agency for Health Care Administration, Hawaii Health Information Corporation, Massachusetts Division of Health Care Finance and Policy, Missouri Hospital Industry Data Institute, Nebraska Hospital Association, New York State Department of Health, South Carolina State Budget & Control Board, and Tennessee Hospital Association. We would also like to acknowledge Marguerite Barrett for guidance on HCUP data, Minya Sheng for programming support, Arpit Misra for analytic support, and Linda Lee for editorial assistance.
IRB Approval: No human subjects were involved in the preparation of this manuscript, and no IRB approval was required.
©2014 by Walter de Gruyter Berlin/Boston. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License. (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0)