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The Forum

A Journal of Applied Research in Contemporary Politics

Ed. by Disalvo, Daniel / Stonecash, Jeffrey

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Volume 10, Issue 4


The Primary End Game and General Election Outcomes: Are they Connected?

Barbara Norrander / Jay Wendland
Published Online: 2013-02-09 | DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/forum-2013-0008


Recent presidential nominating contests are effectively over sometime during the first half of the election year, well before the official nominations are bestowed at the party conventions. Yet some candidates become the presumptive nominee as early as February, while others do not obtain this moniker until May or June. This article takes a preliminary look at the dates candidates became the presumptive nominees and their general election fates.


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About the article

Barbara Norrander

Barbara Norrander is a Professor in the School of Government and Public Policy at the University of Arizona. She has been writing about presidential nomination politics since the 1980s.

Jay Wendland

Jay Wendland is a PhD candidate in the School of Government and Public Policy. His dissertation explores the role of candidate visits in presidential nominating politics.

Corresponding author: Barbara Norrander, University of Arizona, School of Government and Public Policy

Received: 2012-12-20

Accepted: 2012-12-28

Published Online: 2013-02-09

“Mitt Romney Favorable Rating,” Pollster, http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/mitt-romney-favorability, and “Barack Obama Favorable Rating,” Pollster, http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/obama-favorable-rating, both accessed December 12, 2012.

Citation Information: The Forum, Volume 10, Issue 4, Pages 119–126, ISSN (Online) 1540-8884, ISSN (Print) 2194-6183, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/forum-2013-0008.

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©2013 by Walter de Gruyter Berlin Boston. Copyright Clearance Center

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