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The Forum

A Journal of Applied Research in Contemporary Politics

Hrsg. v. Disalvo, Daniel / Stonecash, Jeffrey

IMPACT FACTOR 2018: 0.500
5-year IMPACT FACTOR: 0.623

CiteScore 2018: 0.83

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Source Normalized Impact per Paper (SNIP) 2018: 0.631

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Band 16, Heft 4


Donald Trump, Nationalization, and the 2018 Midterm Elections

Jamie L. Carson
  • Korrespondenzautor
  • UGA Athletic Association Professor of Public and International Affairs II, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA
  • E-Mail
  • Weitere Artikel des Autors:
  • De Gruyter OnlineGoogle Scholar
/ Aaron A. Hitefield
Online erschienen: 27.02.2019 | DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/for-2018-0035


The 2018 midterm elections resulted in record levels of turnout, campaign funding, and the representation of women and minorities in Congress. Moreover, Democrats regained control of the US House of Representatives while Republicans shored up their minimal majority in the Senate. What made such a historic outcome possible? This article examines the candidates, expectations, outcomes, and implications of the 2018 midterm elections. In doing so, it offers an analysis into the primary elections, suggesting that the 2018 midterm results in the House were largely a result of successful nominations of quality Democratic candidates who were able to capitalize on the unpopularity of President Donald Trump despite an otherwise strong national economy. It closes with an in-depth analysis into the implications of the 2018 midterm election on both the incoming 116th Congress as well as the upcoming 2020 Presidential election.


  • Aldrich, John, Jamie Carson, Brad Gomez, and David Rohde. 2018. Change and Continuity in the 2016 Elections. Thousand Oaks: CQ Press.Google Scholar

  • Byers, Jason, and Jamie L. Carson. 2017. “Trump and the Republican Congress: The Challenges of Governing.” The Forum 15 (3): 499–512.Google Scholar

  • Byers, Jason, and Jamie L. Carson. 2018. “What’s Rules Got to Do with It? Parties, Reform, and Selection in the Presidential Nomination Process.” In Changing How America Votes, edited by Todd Donavan. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield.Google Scholar

  • Carson, Jamie, Michael Crespin, Carrie Eaves, and Emily Wanless. 2012. “Constituency Congruency and Candidate Competition in Primary Elections for the U.S. House.” State Politics & Policy Quarterly 12 (June): 127–145.Web of ScienceGoogle Scholar

  • Hassell, Hans J. G. 2018. The Party’s Primary: Control of Congressional Nominations. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar

  • Hopkins, Daniel J. 2018. The Increasingly United States: How and Why American Political Behavior Nationalized. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar

  • Jacobson, Gary C. 1989. “Strategic Politicians and the Dynamics of U.S. House Elections, 1946–1986.” American Political Science Review 83 (September): 773–793.CrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Jacobson, Gary C. 2007. “Referendum: The 2006 Midterm Elections.” Political Science Quarterly 122 (Spring): 1–24.CrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Jacobson, Gary C. 2011. “The Republican Resurgence in 2010.” Political Science Quarterly 126 (1): 27–52.CrossrefWeb of ScienceGoogle Scholar

  • Jacobson, Gary C. 2015. “Its Nothing Personal: The Decline of the Incumbency Advantage in U.S. House Elections.” Journal of Politics 3 (July): 861–873.Google Scholar

  • Jacobson, Gary C., and Samuel Kernell. 1981. Strategy and Choice in Congressional Elections. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar

  • Jacobson, Gary C., and Jamie L. Carson. 2016. The Politics of Congressional Elections. 9th ed. Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield.Google Scholar

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Jamie L. Carson

Jamie L. Carson is the UGA Athletic Association Professor of Public and International Affairs II in the Department of Political Science at the University of Georgia. He is interested in the study of American political institutions with an emphasis on congressional politics and elections, American political development, and separation of powers. His most recent books include Electoral Incentives in Congress with Joel Sievert, Change and Continuity in the 2016 and 2018 Elections with John Aldrich, Brad Gomez, and David Rohde, and The Politics of Congressional Elections, 10th edition (forthcoming) with Gary Jacobson.

Aaron A. Hitefield

Aaron A. Hitefield is a PhD student in the Department of Political Science at the University of Georgia. He is broadly interested in the US Congress, Congressional Elections, the US Presidency, and Separation of Powers.

Online erschienen: 27.02.2019

Erschienen im Druck: 19.12.2018

Quellenangabe: The Forum, Band 16, Heft 4, Seiten 531–549, ISSN (Online) 1540-8884, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/for-2018-0035.

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