Global Economy Journal
The Official Publication of the International Trade and Finance Association
Ed. by Pelzman, Joseph
4 Issues per year
CiteScore 2016: 0.22
SCImago Journal Rank (SJR) 2016: 0.146
Source Normalized Impact per Paper (SNIP) 2016: 0.320
Regionalism as a Building Block for Multilateralism
The well-known question whether regional trade agreements (RTAs) and the multilateral trading system (MTS) are strangers, friends, or foes (Bhagwati and Panagariya, 1996) has gained new importance with the widespread proliferation of RTAs in recent years. Based on an extensive data set which covers most of world trade over the past 60 years and about 240 regional trade agreements, we analyze the relationship between RTAs and the MTS by combining the gravity model framework with vector auto-regression analysis. Impulse-response-functions robustly suggest that multilateral trade liberalization responds in a significantly positive way to regional trade liberalization. We also find robust evidence that RTA liberalization Granger-causes GATT/WTO liberalization. Thus, our results indicate that RTAs do not undermine the MTS but serve as building blocks to multilateral trade liberalization.
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