Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Show Summary Details
More options …

Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization

Ed. by Azzam, Azzeddine

2 Issues per year


CiteScore 2017: 0.76

SCImago Journal Rank (SJR) 2017: 0.325
Source Normalized Impact per Paper (SNIP) 2017: 0.402

Online
ISSN
1542-0485
See all formats and pricing
More options …

Potential Land Use Implications of a Global Biofuels Industry

Angelo Gurgel / John M Reilly / Sergey Paltsev
Published Online: 2007-12-10 | DOI: https://doi.org/10.2202/1542-0485.1202

In this paper we investigate the potential production and implications of a global biofuels industry. We develop alternative approaches to consistently introduce land as an economic factor input and in physical terms into a computable general equilibrium framework. The approach allows us to parameterize biomass production consistent with agro-engineering information on yields and a "second generation" cellulosic biomass conversion technology. We explicitly model land conversion from natural areas to agricultural use in two different ways: in one approach we introduced a land supply elasticity based on observed land supply responses and in the other approach we considered only the direct cost of conversion. We estimate biofuels production at the end of the century could reach 221 to 267 EJ in a reference scenario and 319 to 368 EJ under a global effort to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. The version with the land supply elasticity allowed much less conversion of land from natural areas, forcing intensification of production, especially on pasture and grazing land, whereas the pure conversion cost model led to significant deforestation. These different approaches emphasize the importance of somehow reflecting the non-market value of land more fully in the conversion decision. The observed land conversion response we estimate may be a short turn response that does not fully reflect the effect of long run pressure to convert land if rent differentials are sustained over 100 years.

Keywords: biofuels; land use change; computable general equilibrium modeling; climate change

About the article

Published Online: 2007-12-10


Citation Information: Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, Volume 5, Issue 2, ISSN (Online) 1542-0485, DOI: https://doi.org/10.2202/1542-0485.1202.

Export Citation

©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston.Get Permission

Citing Articles

Here you can find all Crossref-listed publications in which this article is cited. If you would like to receive automatic email messages as soon as this article is cited in other publications, simply activate the “Citation Alert” on the top of this page.

[1]
Virginie Doumax-Tagliavini and Cristina Sarasa
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2018, Volume 94, Page 430
[2]
Niven Winchester, Kirby Ledvina, Kenneth Strzepek, and John M. Reilly
Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2018
[3]
Huadong Zang, Evgenia Blagodatskaya, Yuan Wen, Xingliang Xu, Jens Dyckmans, and Yakov Kuzyakov
GCB Bioenergy, 2017
[4]
Jonathan Baker, Paul Block, Kenneth Strzepek, and Richard de Neufville
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 2014, Volume 140, Number 12, Page 04014038
[5]
A. Haurie and M. Vielle
INFOR: Information Systems and Operational Research, 2010, Volume 48, Number 4, Page 215
[6]
Petr Havlík, Uwe A. Schneider, Erwin Schmid, Hannes Böttcher, Steffen Fritz, Rastislav Skalský, Kentaro Aoki, Stéphane De Cara, Georg Kindermann, Florian Kraxner, Sylvain Leduc, Ian McCallum, Aline Mosnier, Timm Sauer, and Michael Obersteiner
Energy Policy, 2011, Volume 39, Number 10, Page 5690
[7]
MARSHALL WISE, KATE CALVIN, PAGE KYLE, PATRICK LUCKOW, and JAE EDMONDS
Climate Change Economics, 2014, Volume 05, Number 02, Page 1450003
[8]
Govinda R. Timilsina and Ashish Shrestha
Energy, 2011, Volume 36, Number 4, Page 2055
[9]
Angelo Costa Gurgel and Sergey Paltsev
Climate Policy, 2014, Volume 14, Number 2, Page 209
[10]
GEORGE C. HICKMAN, ANDY VANLOOCKE, FRANK G. DOHLEMAN, and CARL J. BERNACCHI
GCB Bioenergy, 2010, Page no
[11]
KRISTINA J. ANDERSON-TEIXEIRA, SARAH C. DAVIS, MICHAEL D. MASTERS, and EVAN H. DELUCIA
GCB Bioenergy, 2009, Volume 1, Number 1, Page 75
[12]
Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Toshihiko Masui, and Kiyoshi Takahashi
Food Security, 2014, Volume 6, Number 5, Page 685
[14]
Robert Walker
Geographical Analysis, 2014, Volume 46, Number 1, Page 18
[15]
Niven Winchester, Dominic McConnachie, Christoph Wollersheim, and Ian A. Waitz
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2013, Volume 58, Page 116
[16]
Hugo Valin, Betina Dimaranan, and Antoine Bouët
International Economics, 2010, Volume 122, Page 89
[19]
Peter J. Ince, Andrew Kramp, and Kenneth E. Skog
Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, 2012, Volume 60, Number 2, Page 211
[20]
George A. Dyer and J. Edward Taylor
World Development, 2011, Volume 39, Number 10, Page 1878
[21]
Peter J. Ince, Andrew D. Kramp, Kenneth E. Skog, Do-il Yoo, and V. Alaric Sample
Journal of Forest Economics, 2011, Volume 17, Number 2, Page 142

Comments (0)

Please log in or register to comment.
Log in