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Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik

Journal of Economics and Statistics

Editor-in-Chief: Winker, Peter

Ed. by Büttner, Thiess / Riphahn, Regina / Smolny, Werner / Wagner, Joachim


IMPACT FACTOR 2018: 0.200
5-year IMPACT FACTOR: 0.309

CiteScore 2018: 0.50

SCImago Journal Rank (SJR) 2018: 0.154
Source Normalized Impact per Paper (SNIP) 2018: 0.382

Online
ISSN
2366-049X
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Volume 235, Issue 1

Issues

Terrorism and International Tourism: The Case of Germany

Prof. Dr. Gabriel M. Ahlfeldt / Bastian Franke
  • University of Hamburg, Department of Economics, Chair for Economic Policy, Von-Melle-Park 5, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
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/ Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Maennig
  • Corresponding author
  • University of Hamburg, School of Economics and Social Sciences, Von-Melle-Park 5, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
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Published Online: 2016-03-16 | DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/jbnst-2015-0103

Summary

We analyse how German tourists react to unanticipated shocks that alter their risk perception of selected tourism destinations. Using a difference-in-difference strategy which flexibly accounts for macroeconomic conditions and also addresses potential problems of serial correlation, we isolate significant effects of the 9/11 (2001) terrorist attacks, as well as for the attacks in Egypt (1997), Tunisia (2002), Morocco (2003) and Indonesia (2003). These terror attacks impacted especially on Islamic countries all over the world, indicating a transmission mechanism driven by ethnic and religious proximity. At the same time, tourism into Islamic countries was temporarily substituted by tourism to (south) European countries.

Keywords: Terrorism; 9/11; Islamic countries; tourism demand

About the article

Published Online: 2016-03-16

Published in Print: 2015-02-01


Citation Information: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Volume 235, Issue 1, Pages 3–21, ISSN (Online) 2366-049X, ISSN (Print) 0021-4027, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/jbnst-2015-0103.

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© 2015 by Lucius & Lucius, Stuttgart.

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