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Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports

An official journal of the American Statistical Association

Editor-in-Chief: Glickman, PhD, Mark

4 Issues per year


SCImago Journal Rank (SJR) 2015: 0.288
Source Normalized Impact per Paper (SNIP) 2015: 0.358
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1559-0410
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Streaky Hitting in Baseball

Jim Albert
  • Bowling Green State University
Published Online: 2008-01-10 | DOI: https://doi.org/10.2202/1559-0410.1085

The streaky hitting patterns of all regular baseball players during the 2005 season are explored. Patterns of hits/outs, home runs and strikeouts are considered using different measures of streakiness. An adjustment method is proposed that helps in understanding the size of a streakiness measure given the player's ability and number of hitting opportunities. An exchangeable model is used to estimate the hitting abilities of all players and this model is used to understand the pattern of streakiness of all players in the 2005 season. This exchangeable model that assumes that all players are consistent with constant probabilities of success appears to explain much of the observed streaky behavior. But there are some players that appear to exhibit more streakiness than one would predict from the model.

Keywords: batting logs; consistent hitting; exchangeable model; Bayes factor

About the article

Published Online: 2008-01-10


Citation Information: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, ISSN (Online) 1559-0410, DOI: https://doi.org/10.2202/1559-0410.1085. Export Citation

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