Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Show Summary Details
More options …

Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy

Editor-in-Chief: Caruso, Raul

Ed. by Bove, Vincenzo / Kibris, Arzu / Sekeris, Petros


CiteScore 2018: 0.44

SCImago Journal Rank (SJR) 2018: 0.281
Source Normalized Impact per Paper (SNIP) 2018: 0.320

Online
ISSN
1554-8597
See all formats and pricing
More options …
Volume 20, Issue 4

Issues

Volume 17 (2011)

Volume 4 (1996)

Volume 3 (1995)

Volume 2 (1994)

Volume 1 (1993)

Changes in Public Opinion and the Occurrence of International Terrorism

Jitka Malečková
  • CERGE-EI, a joint workplace of Charles University and the Economics Institute of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Politických vězňů 7, 111 21 Prague, Czech Republic
  • Other articles by this author:
  • De Gruyter OnlineGoogle Scholar
/ Dragana Stanišić
  • Corresponding author
  • CERGE-EI, a joint workplace of Charles University and the Economics Institute of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Politických vězňů 7, 111 21 Prague, Czech Republic
  • Email
  • Other articles by this author:
  • De Gruyter OnlineGoogle Scholar
Published Online: 2014-10-24 | DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2014-0021

Abstract

This paper is a contribution to the study of the impact of public opinion and evolutions in opinion on the occurrence of international terrorism. First, we replicate Krueger and Malečková’s (2009) model of the relationship between attitudes towards world leaders and occurrences of international terrorist incidents, using more recent data-the Gallup Survey data from 2010 on public opinion in Middle Eastern and North African countries and the National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) data on international terrorism from 2009 to 2011. The analysis confirms the model of the earlier study, although, due to the distribution of terrorist incidents in the new sample, the evidence of the correlation between terrorist attacks and public opinion weakens. Second, we exercise an out-of-sample prediction of terrorist attacks using the estimated model based on the data from the 2004 to 2008 period to predict the occurrence of attacks in 2009–2011. The findings suggest that Krueger and Malečková’s (2009) model is unstable, either due to the instability of the process or the problematic nature of terrorism data. Further research is necessary to explain and test these results.

Keywords: public opinion; international terrorism; Middle East and North Africa

References

  • Abadie, A., (2006), Poverty, Political Freedom, and the Roots of Terrorism, American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings), vol. 96, no. 2, pp. 50–56.CrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • Alonso, R., (2006), Individual Motivations for Joining Terrorist Organizations: A Comparative Qualitative Study on Members of ETA and IRA, in Victoroff J., (ed.), Tangled Roots: Social and Psychological Factors in the Genesis of Terrorism, IOS Press, Amsterdam, pp. 187–202.Google Scholar

  • Caruso, R., Klor, E.F., (2012), Political Economy Studies on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Introduction, Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 1–10.Google Scholar

  • Caruso, R., Schneider, F., (2013), Brutality of Jihadist Terrorism. A Contest Theory Perspective and Empirical Evidence in the Period 2002–2010, Journal of Policy Modeling, vol. 35, no. 5, pp. 685–696.Web of ScienceGoogle Scholar

  • Fair, C.C., Shepherd, B., (2006), Who Supports Terrorism? Evidence from Fourteen Muslim Countries, Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, no. 29, pp. 51–54.Google Scholar

  • Hassan, N., (2006), Suicide Terrorism, in Richardson, L., (ed.), The Roots of Terrorism, Routledge, New York, pp. 29–42.Google Scholar

  • Katzenstein, P.J., Keohane, R.O., (2006), Anti-americanisms in World Politics, Cornell University Press, Ithaca.Google Scholar

  • Krueger, A., (2007), What Makes a Terrorist: Economics and the Roots of Terrorism, Princeton University Press, Princeton.Google Scholar

  • Krueger, A., Malečková, J., (2009), Attitudes and Action: Public Opinion and the Occurrence of International Terrorism, Science, no. 325, pp. 1534–1536.Web of ScienceGoogle Scholar

  • Malečková, J., Stanišić, D., (2011), Public Opinion and Terrorist Acts, European Journal of Political Economy, vol. 27, no. 1, pp. 107–121.CrossrefWeb of ScienceGoogle Scholar

  • Merrari, A., (2005), Social, Organizational and Psychological Factors in Suicide Terrorism, in Bjørgo, T., (ed.), Root Causes of Terrorism: Myths, Reality and Ways Forward, Routledge, London, pp. 70–86.Google Scholar

  • Roggio, (2009), Al Qaeda Opens New Training Camp in Yemen, The Long War Journal, (http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2009/11/al_qaeda_opens_new_t.php#ixzz2sYBnhzEO.Last viewed June 10, 2014).Google Scholar

  • Shapiro, J.N., (2012), Terrorist Decision-Making: Insights from Economics and Political Science, Perspectives on Terrorism, vol. 6, no. 4–5, pp. 5–20.Google Scholar

  • Telhami, S., (2011), The 2011 Arab Public Opinion Poll. Brookings Report. (http://www.brookings.edu/research/reports/2011/11/21-arab-public-opinion-telhami. Last viewed June 15, 2014).

  • Tessler, M., Robbins, M.D.H., (2007), What Leads Some Ordinary Arab Men and Women to Approve of Terrorist Acts Against the United States? Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 51, no. 2, pp. 305–328.CrossrefGoogle Scholar

  • The US – Global Leadership Project. A partnership between the Meridian International Center and Gallup. Gallup 2011.Google Scholar

About the article

Corresponding author: Dragana Stanišić, CERGE-EI, a joint workplace of Charles University and the Economics Institute of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Politických vězňů 7, 111 21 Prague, Czech Republic, Tel.: +(420) 224 005 227, E-mail:


Published Online: 2014-10-24

Published in Print: 2014-12-01


Citation Information: Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, Volume 20, Issue 4, Pages 631–653, ISSN (Online) 1554-8597, ISSN (Print) 1079-2457, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2014-0021.

Export Citation

© 2014 by De Gruyter.Get Permission

Citing Articles

Here you can find all Crossref-listed publications in which this article is cited. If you would like to receive automatic email messages as soon as this article is cited in other publications, simply activate the “Citation Alert” on the top of this page.

[1]
C. Christine Fair and Junjie Chen
SSRN Electronic Journal , 2017

Comments (0)

Please log in or register to comment.
Log in