Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics
Ed. by Mizrach, Bruce
5 Issues per year
IMPACT FACTOR 2017: 0.855
CiteScore 2017: 0.76
SCImago Journal Rank (SJR) 2017: 0.668
Source Normalized Impact per Paper (SNIP) 2017: 0.894
Mathematical Citation Quotient (MCQ) 2017: 0.02
The Consumption-Wealth Ratio under Asymmetric Adjustment
This paper argues that nonlinear adjustment may provide a better explanation of fluctuations in the consumption-wealth ratio. The nonlinearity is captured by a Markov-switching vector error-correction model that allows the dynamics of the relationship to differ across regimes. Estimation of the system suggests that these states are related to the behaviour of financial markets. In fact, estimation of the system suggests that short-term deviations in the consumption-wealth ratio will forecast either asset returns or consumption growth; the first when changes in wealth are transitory, the second when changes in wealth are permanent. Our approach uncovers a richer and more complex dynamic in the consumption-wealth ratio than previous results in the literature, whilst being in accordance with theoretical predictions of a simple model of consumption under uncertainty.
Here you can find all Crossref-listed publications in which this article is cited. If you would like to receive automatic email messages as soon as this article is cited in other publications, simply activate the “Citation Alert” on the top of this page.