Economic Development and Heterogeneity in the Great Moderation among the States

Pablo A Guerron 1 , 1 , Thomas J Grennes 2 , 2  and Asli Leblebicioglu 3 , 3
  • 1 Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, pguerron@gmail.com
  • 2 North Carolina State University, tom_grennes@ncsu.edu
  • 3 North Carolina State University, alebleb@ncsu.edu

Using state level personal income, we document the substantial heterogeneity in the magnitude and timing of the Great Moderation. Low income states experienced remarkable moderation, but some richer states experienced significant increases in volatility. We evaluate the findings from a development perspective, and discuss how differences in income per capita and the structure of production can determine the heterogeneity in income volatility across states.

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The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics publishes significant research and scholarship in theoretical and applied macroeconomics. The range of topics includes business cycle research, economic growth, and monetary economics, as well as topics drawn from the substantial areas of overlap between macroeconomics and international economics, labor economics, finance, development economics, political economy, public economics, econometric theory.

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